Torino vs Juventus Betting Tips 2026

Derby d’Italia: Torino vs Juventus

The Derby della Mole closes out the 2025/26 Serie A season for these two sides, and on paper it should be a formality for Juventus. Sixth in the table with 68 points and a goal difference of +27, Luciano Spalletti’s men head across the city as heavy favourites at 1.45. Torino sit 12th on 44 points, GD of -19, and have looked exactly like a mid-table side running on fumes towards the end of the campaign.

Form Guide

Roberto D’Aversa’s Torino have taken seven points from their last five league games, but the underlying numbers are soft. They’ve conceded seven goals across that run while managing just five at the other end. A 1-2 loss away at Cagliari in their most recent outing wasn’t a good look. The 2-2 draw at home to Inter had some positive signs, but that’s followed by another defeat away at Udinese and a goalless draw at Cremonese. They’re winning the occasional home game, but away form is a disaster: four wins, five draws, ten defeats on the road this season.

Juventus aren’t quite in the form you’d expect from a side pushing for European football, either. A 0-2 home defeat to Fiorentina in their last match is a concern, and before that they drew 1-1 with Hellas Verona at home. They did grind out a 1-0 win away at Lecce and beat Bologna 2-0 at the Allianz, so the quality is there when they turn it on. Four goals scored, three conceded in five games. They’re not flying, but they’re a different class to Torino.

Key Players and Injuries

Torino’s attacking threat runs through Giovanni Simeone, who leads the scoring charts with 11 goals in 31 appearances this season, and Nikola Vlašić who has chipped in with 8 goals and 3 assists in 36 games. The problem is they’ll be without Ismajli and Sazonov in defence, which already looks shaky given that goal difference. Savva is also absent. Three confirmed absentees in a back line that’s struggled all season is a real problem against a side with Juventus’s attacking quality.

On the other side, Kenan Yıldız leads Juventus’s attacking numbers with 10 goals and 6 assists in 36 appearances. Jonathan David has 6 goals and 4 assists, and Dušan Vlahović has managed 5 goals from just 18 appearances, which tells you the kind of impact he has when fit. Weston McKennie has contributed 5 goals and 5 assists in 35 games, making him one of the more productive midfielders in the division. Juventus are missing Miretti, Cambiaso, and Perin, but none of those absences fundamentally change what they’re capable of doing at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.

Head-to-Head

Recent derbies have been tight. The first meeting this season, back in November 2025, finished 0-0 at the Allianz. Last season’s reverse fixture at Torino ended 1-1. Go back to November 2024 and Juventus won 2-0 at home, and the April 2024 fixture at Torino was goalless. The pattern over the last five is low scoring, and Juventus have the better of it overall without exactly running riot. None of the last three meetings at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino have produced a winning home side.

The Betting Angle

The straight Juventus win at 1.45 reflects the reality here. They are the significantly better side, Torino’s defensive unit is stretched with three confirmed absentees, and their away form is among the worst in the division. Spalletti has players capable of unlocking this defence across multiple positions.

Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 is worth considering given how many low-scoring derbies these sides have produced recently. Three of the last four H2H fixtures have gone under 2.5. But if you’re backing Juventus to win, the 1.45 is the sensible place to be.