Tottenham vs Everton Betting Tips 2026

Relegation Six-Pointer at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

This is not a normal end-of-season fixture. Tottenham sit 17th in the Premier League with 38 points, staring down the barrel of relegation. Three points here could be the difference between top-flight football next season and the Championship. Roberto De Zerbi’s side desperately need a win in front of their own fans, and yet their home record this season has been a disaster: two wins, six draws, and ten defeats at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. That is a relegation-grade home record, full stop.

Everton come into this in a far healthier position. David Moyes has his side sitting 12th on 49 points with a goal difference of -2, effectively safe. For Spurs, every minute of this one matters. For Everton, it is a chance to play spoiler.

Form and Firepower

Tottenham’s last five reads: L, D, W, W, D. That away win at Aston Villa and the victory at Wolves shows there is some fight in this side, but the home draw with Leeds and the defeat at Chelsea suggests inconsistency remains a problem. Richarlison leads the line with 11 goals and 4 assists in 31 appearances this season, and if anyone is going to drag Spurs over the line in a game this big, it is him.

Everton’s form is genuinely poor. Three defeats in their last five, shipping 12 goals along the way. They lost at home to Sunderland 3-1, drew 3-3 with Manchester City, and fell to Liverpool 2-1. Beto has 9 goals and Kalvin Dewsbury-Hall has chipped in with 8, but this is a side with goals against them everywhere you look. Tyreece Barry also has 8 goals in 37 appearances, so Moyes does have attacking contributions spread across the squad, but the defensive shape has been leaking all over the place in recent weeks.

Injuries and Team News

The big story heading into this one is Cristian Romero. Reports this week confirm the Argentine defender has suffered a broken jaw, and while one headline suggests he could play through it, Yardbarker reports he is set to miss the match entirely. Losing Romero, who has contributed 4 goals from defence this season, is a significant blow to a Spurs side already struggling at the back. Dominic Solanke, Yves Bissouma, and Destiny Udogie are also missing, which strips out real quality across multiple positions.

Everton are without Harrison Armstrong, Vitaliy Mykolenko, and Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh. David Moyes has also been providing updates on Idrissa Gueye ahead of this fixture, so his availability is worth monitoring. A defensive injury like Mykolenko’s at left back could affect Moyes’ shape, but Everton’s absences look less damaging overall than what Spurs are dealing with.

Head-to-Head

The recent H2H leans Spurs’ way, but it is not clean-cut. Tottenham hammered Everton 4-0 at home in August 2024 last season, and then won 3-0 at Goodison in October 2025 earlier this campaign. However, Everton did win 3-2 at home back in January 2025, so they can hurt this Spurs side when the conditions are right. Five meetings, three Tottenham wins, one Everton win, one draw. On paper, this fixture favours the home side.

The Betting Angle

The problem with backing Spurs here is that home record. Two wins at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium all season is genuinely alarming, and this is a team losing their best centre-back to a broken jaw going into a must-win game. Everton are poor on the road too, with seven wins and six losses in 18 away matches, so neither side inspires confidence.

That said, Spurs need this more. Relegation on the line, home crowd, and a Everton side that has leaked 12 goals in five matches. Goals look likely given the form of both defences, and Richarlison has the quality to cause real damage. Over 2.5 Goals at 1.73 makes genuine sense when you factor in that Everton’s last three have produced 3-1, 2-2, and 3-3 scorelines, and Spurs themselves have gone 1-2, 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, and 2-2 in their last five. Six of those ten results went over 2.5 goals, and the defensive absences on both sides only add to the case.