Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Tips — April 2026

PGA Tour

The PGA Tour heads to TPC Louisiana this week for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, the circuit's sole team event where 80 two-man partnerships compete across four rounds of alternate-shot and best-ball play. It's a format that rewards chemistry as much as firepower, with the low-stress best-ball rounds often offset by the brutal precision demands of foursomes. Ben Griffin defends the title he won in 2025, but this year's field is stacked with firepower at the top end.

Scottie Scheffler headlines the betting at 6.8/1 with DraftKings (others: 6.5/1 FanDuel, 6.29/1 Pinnacle). He's the world number one for good reason, and our ratings give him a 13.7% win probability — that's 6/1 implied odds, so the market is broadly efficient here. Scheffler's strokes-gained profile is elite across the board, and in a format where consistency across four days matters, he's got the highest floor in the field. With a 55% chance to finish top 10 and a 100% make-cut projection, this is a premium-priced favourite worth respecting rather than backing blind.

Outright Favourites

Matt Fitzpatrick is an intriguing proposition at 7/1 with Bovada and FanDuel (also 6.9/1 DraftKings). We have him at 5.4% to win, implying 18/1, which makes the market price look a touch short on face value. But Fitzpatrick's ball-striking is elite — he ranks inside the top 10 in SG: Approach across the field — and the foursomes format suits players who never spray it. His 36% top-10 probability is the third-best in the field, and in a team event where avoiding disaster is half the battle, that reliability is gold. Still, at 7/1, the value isn't screaming.

Xander Schauffele is available at 37/1 with DraftKings (others: 36.84/1 Pinnacle, 35/1 Caesars). That's a huge price for a player we rate at 18/1 implied (5.4% win probability). Schauffele's iron play is world-class, and he's shown he can thrive in formats that demand precision under pressure. A 34% top-10 probability at these odds is a genuine gift from the market. The team format can be unpredictable, but when the market is giving you double your model price on one of the best ball-strikers in the world, you pay attention.

Each-Way Value

Each-Way Cameron Young is the standout value play this week. Available at 150/1 with BetOnline (others: 125/1 DraftKings, 113.12/1 Pinnacle), Young's market price is absurdly out of line with his profile. We have him at 5.2% to win — that's 18/1 implied odds. He ranks second in the field for SG: Off-the-Tee and top five in SG: Approach, the two stats that matter most when foursomes tee times arrive. His 33% top-10 probability at triple-digit odds is ridiculous. At 1/5 odds over five places, you're getting paid on a finish inside the top five at 30/1, and Young has the ball-striking ceiling to contend.

Each-Way Russell Henley at 30/1 with BetOnline (others: 29/1 DraftKings, 28.33/1 Pinnacle) is another where the market has drifted too far. We rate him at 19/1 implied (5.0% win probability), so there's genuine value in that price. Henley's SG: Approach numbers are excellent, and he ranks inside the top seven in the field for tee-to-green play. With a 35% top-10 probability, he's a safer each-way play than Young, but the upside is slightly capped. Still, at these odds over five places, you're backing one of the field's best iron players to finish top five at 6/1. That's a bet.

Each-Way Tommy Fleetwood is priced at an eye-watering 4500/1 with DraftKings (others: 2000/1 Bet365, 2000/1 Bovada). We have him at 25/1 implied (3.8% win probability). This is the widest value gap in the entire field. Fleetwood's ball-striking is world-class — he leads the field in SG: Tee-to-Green and ranks top three in SG: Approach. His 30% top-10 probability at four-figure odds is borderline absurd. There's clearly something the market knows (injury, form, team dynamics), but on pure strokes-gained data, this is the biggest mispricing of the week. At 2000/1, you're getting 400/1 each-way to five places on one of Europe's best ball-strikers. That's not a typo — it's a gift.

Players to Watch

• Ben Griffin — The defending champion returns to the scene of his 2025 triumph. No odds listed in our data, but he'll be worth monitoring if his name appears on the board.
• Collin Morikawa — Available at 25/1 with Bovada (others: 22.53/1 Pinnacle, 22/1 BetMGM). We have him at 27/1 implied (3.6% win probability), so the price is broadly fair. His iron play is elite, and he's a proven winner in stroke-play formats that demand precision.
• Ludvig Aberg — Priced at 4.26/1 with Pinnacle (others: 4.25/1 BetOnline, 4/1 Bet365). We rate him at 32/1 implied (3.0% win probability), which makes this a significant market overreaction. Aberg's SG: Approach is top-tier, but the price is too short for a player with a 25% top-10 probability.

Our Pick