Alanyaspor 
Samsunspor Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor: Süper Lig Preview
Alanyaspor host Samsunspor at the Alanya Oba Stadium on Monday afternoon in a Round 31 Süper Lig fixture that means very different things to each side. The hosts are treading water in mid-table with their confidence shot, while Samsunspor arrive with genuine European ambitions and a quiet consistency that's gone a bit under the radar this season.
Form and Morale
Alanyaspor's last five games read like a team running out of steam. A 5-0 demolition of Kocaelispor in the league feels like a distant memory at this point. Back-to-back draws against Gaziantep FK and Trabzonspor, a narrow 1-0 loss to Kasımpaşa, and then a 3-0 thumping at the hands of Beşiktaş in the Türkiye Kupası quarter-finals on Wednesday. That cup exit will sting. Getting beaten that heavily so close to a league match is exactly the kind of result that lingers in a dressing room, and Alanyaspor head into this one needing to reset quickly.
Their league record tells a similar story. Sitting 12th on 33 points, they've drawn ten of their fifteen away games, which shows a side that defends deep and plays not to lose rather than to win. At home it's a messier picture: five wins, five draws, five defeats. Not the kind of profile that makes you fear them.
Samsunspor, by contrast, are in decent shape. Seventh in the league on 42 points, they beat Beşiktaş 2-1 in the Süper Lig and won 2-1 away at Eyüpspor in their last two league outings. The Türkiye Kupası draw with Trabzonspor midweek was goalless and the kind of low-stakes affair that shouldn't leave much in the legs. Their away record this season is solid: five wins from fifteen on the road.
Injuries and Key Absences
There are some meaningful absentees on both sides. For Alanyaspor, F. Hadërgjonaj is missing, which matters given he has five goals and seven assists in 25 appearances in the 2025/26 season. That creative output is hard to replace. I. Hagi is also out, having contributed three goals and two assists this campaign, and M. Elia is likewise unavailable. That's a significant chunk of their attacking threat gone in one go.
Samsunspor lose C. Ndiaye, who has five goals in just 21 appearances this season, along with E. Kılınç and T. Coulibaly. Ndiaye's absence reduces their cutting edge going forward, but they still have C. Holse leading the line, the team's top scorer with eight goals and two assists in 27 games.
Head-to-Head
These two sides don't separate easily. The last five meetings have produced four draws and one win apiece. In the first meeting of the current 2025/26 season, Samsunspor won 1-1, sorry, the sides drew 1-1 at Samsun in December. The only win for either team in recent H2H came back in April 2025 when Alanyaspor won 1-0 at home, suggesting home advantage can just about tip the balance. Before that, 1-1 draws in the 2024/25 and 2023/24 seasons tell you exactly what to expect from this fixture: tight, cagey, not much between them.
The Betting Angle
The draw at 3.3 is genuinely tempting given the H2H pattern, but the injury situation and morale concern around Alanyaspor nudges me away from backing the hosts. Samsunspor are the better team right now, they're more motivated with a push for European football still alive, and they travel with a winning record on the road. At 3.4 for a Samsunspor win, there's some value given the context, but the price barely compensates for the volatility of this fixture.
What does stand out is the goals angle. Alanyaspor's home games this season are inconsistent, and Samsunspor concede. Their last five results include a 1-4 defeat away at Rizespor and a 2-2 draw with Konyaspor. Neither team defends with real conviction. With key creative players missing on both sides, goals aren't guaranteed, but the underlying patterns lean toward a game where at least one team finds the net more than once. Under 2.5 at 1.90 doesn't excite me enough. Over 2.5 at 2.06 does, just about.
With Samsunspor needing points for European contention, they'll push for it. Alanyaspor's patched-up attack will still have G. Yalçın available, their top scorer with seven goals in 24 games, and he's capable of creating moments. Back goals.
Odds: 2.06 — Pinnacle
Samsunspor need the win and will push forward, while Alanyaspor's depleted attack still carries enough firepower through G. Yalçın to threaten. Both teams have leaked goals in recent weeks and the H2H trend of low-scoring draws feels due a shake-up given the state of both squads right now. Three goals in this one looks a reasonable punt at just over evens.