League Position Tells the Story
Hoffenheim arrive at the WWK Arena sitting fifth in the Bundesliga on 50 points with a goal difference of +14. Augsburg are 11th on 32 points, GD -17. That gap is not a coincidence. It reflects what both sides have actually been doing on the pitch this season.
Christian Ilzer's side have been particularly impressive on the road: seven away wins, four draws, and just three defeats away from home all campaign. That away record puts them among the most effective travelling sides in the division. Augsburg, by contrast, have managed three wins away and conceded heavily across the season. At home they've been marginally better, but the form guide shows they're not exactly a fortress at the WWK Arena right now either.
Form Guide
Augsburg's last five has been rough. One win against Köln, then back-to-back away losses to Dortmund and Leipzig, a heavy 2-5 home defeat to Stuttgart, and a draw at Hamburg. That's five against in a single home game. Manuel Baum's side have shipped ten goals in those five matches and scored six. The defensive structure looks fragile, and teams with quality up front have been cutting through them.
Hoffenheim haven't been pulling up trees either, it has to be said. Losses to Mainz and a 0-5 hammering at Leipzig, sandwiched around a draw with Wolfsburg and a win at Heidenheim. That Leipzig result was ugly, but they did put four past Heidenheim away from home, and their overall body of work this season remains strong. Six goals scored, eleven conceded across their last five, so neither side is doing anything clean defensively right now.
That Andrej Kramarić is sitting on 10 goals and 5 assists in 28 appearances this season matters here. Fiorentino Asllani has 9 goals and 5 assists in 27. Thomas Lemperle and Guntram Prömel both on 7 goals too. Hoffenheim have goals spread across the squad, and they are not relying on one player to produce. Against an Augsburg side giving up chances at the rate they are, that depth is dangerous.
Head-to-Head
The recent H2H is firmly in Hoffenheim's favour. Going back through the last five meetings, Hoffenheim won 3-1 in April 2024. The November 2024 meeting at Augsburg ended 0-0. Then a 3-1 in a clubs friendly in January 2025. Last season's reverse fixture, also at Hoffenheim's ground, ended 1-1 in March 2025. And the most recent meeting, on 29 November 2025 at Hoffenheim, ended 3-0 to the hosts.
The 0-0 at the WWK Arena last season is worth filing away, but three of the last five have featured Hoffenheim winning by multiple goals. The pattern is clear: when these two meet, Hoffenheim tend to have the quality edge.
Injuries and Team News
Elvis Rexhbecaj, M. Kömür, and Dimitris Giannoulis are all listed as missing the fixture for Augsburg. On the Hoffenheim side, Ozan Kabak, Adam Hlozek, and Valentin Gendrey are also out. Neither squad is completely unaffected, but the absences for Hoffenheim don't hollow out their attacking threat given how many scorers they have across the side.
The Betting Angle
Hoffenheim at 2.15 on 888sport looks like reasonable value here. Augsburg are leaky, Hoffenheim have goals across the squad, and they travel well. The 0-0 H2H result at this venue last season is the one caveat, and Augsburg will be up for it at home, so this is not a banker. But the league table, the form, the head-to-head record, and Hoffenheim's away numbers all point in the same direction.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 also has merit given both teams' recent defensive records, but the away win is the cleaner call.
Odds: 2.15 — 888sport
Hoffenheim are 21 points clear of Augsburg in the table and have seven away wins this season. Augsburg have conceded ten goals across their last five, and Hoffenheim carry attacking threat through multiple players including Kramarić (10 goals) and Asllani (9 goals). The head-to-head record backs this up, with three wins in the last five for Ilzer's side.