Birmingham City 
Wrexham Two Sides Going Nowhere Fast
This is a Championship fixture where neither side has much to shout about right now. Birmingham City have lost three of their last four in the league, and the solitary win in that run, a 1-0 home result over QPR, is about as much as Chris Davies can cling to. Three goals scored in five matches, five conceded. The goals are drying up at St Andrew's Ground, and that's a problem when your campaign should be building towards something.
Wrexham's form isn't much prettier. Phil Parkinson's side got thumped 5-1 at home by Southampton, and that's the kind of result that leaves a mark. They've shown they can compete away from home, grinding out a 2-2 at West Brom and winning 2-1 at Sheffield United, but the defensive numbers tell the real story: 11 conceded in five matches. That's a back line with serious questions hanging over it.
Birmingham at least have attacking threat on paper. Martin Ducksch leads the scoring charts with 10 goals in 32 appearances this season, and Jay Stansfield is right behind him on 9 in 39. Those are two Championship-quality strikers who can punish a leaky defence when they get going. The issue is they haven't been getting going. The 0-1 loss at Derby and 0-1 home defeat to Blackburn suggest something's off in front of goal right now, but Wrexham's defensive record this season makes them a reasonable matchup to start producing again.
Head-to-Head and What It Tells You
These two have met three times with matches that span different divisions. Last season's League One fixtures saw Birmingham win 3-1 at home in September 2024, before the sides drew 1-1 at Wrexham in January 2025. Then, early in the current 2025/26 Championship campaign, they drew 1-1 again at Wrexham in October.
The pattern is clear enough: Wrexham haven't beaten Birmingham in recent memory, and when Birmingham are at home, they've got the better of it. The Dragons seem to take something away from games at St Andrew's Ground but rarely more than a point. That October draw came at Wrexham's ground. At home, in a Championship game this season, Birmingham's record in these fixtures leans their way.
The Betting Angle
Both squads are available for this one, with no significant absences to factor in.
The home win at 2.2 has genuine appeal here. Birmingham are misfiring, but they're misfiring against sides with more defensive solidity than Wrexham. Ducksch and Stansfield have the quality to unlock a back line that's conceded 11 in five. Home advantage matters too. St Andrew's Ground gives Birmingham something to play for in front of their own supporters, and their only two results of note recently, the draw with Sheffield United and win over QPR, both came at home.
Wrexham arrive in poor defensive shape, having been on the wrong end of scorelines against Southampton and Watford already. A home Birmingham win is the most logical outcome, and at 2.2, there's value there against a Wrexham side that hasn't won at this ground in recent visits.
The goals market is tempting too. Over 2.5 at 1.92 reflects the fact both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, Wrexham's 1-5, 2-2, and 2-1 in particular. But the Birmingham goals drought gives pause. The match result tip is the cleaner play.
Odds: 2.2 — LeoVegas (SE)
Wrexham's defence has shipped 11 goals in their last five matches, and Birmingham have two double-figure goal threats in Ducksch and Stansfield ready to exploit it. Home advantage and a strong recent H2H record at St Andrew's Ground make the Blues the pick here at a price that represents genuine value.