Blackburn Rovers 
Leicester City Relegation Battle at Ewood Park
This is a six-pointer that actually means something. Blackburn sit 20th on 52 points, Leicester are 23rd on 43. With the season winding down, Gary Rowett's side desperately need to close that gap, but the form heading into Saturday is brutal reading for both camps.
Blackburn's last five has been patchy at best: a decent win at Sheffield United, then two draws and a 3-0 thumping away at Southampton. Michael O'Neill's side have shipped six goals across those five matches and scored five. Not exactly the kind of numbers to inspire confidence in a must-win for the visitors. Leicester have it worse. One draw, two defeats, another draw and another draw. Four goals scored, six conceded. They haven't won in five Championship outings and the pressure on Rowett is growing with every dropped point.
The league table tells you exactly how grim this is. Blackburn's home record is poor: W4 D9 L9 at Ewood Park this season. But Leicester on the road isn't much better, with four wins, nine draws and nine defeats away from home. Neither side is built for grinding out results when the heat is on.
Team News and the Fatawu Question
The big story heading into this one is Abdul Fatawu. Gary Rowett has given an injury update suggesting Fatawu's Leicester career could already be over, which is a significant blow. He's been one of their standout performers this season with nine goals and seven assists in 44 appearances. If he's not available, Leicester lose a real match-winner and creative force.
John Souttar has made what's being reported as an impressive return to fitness, which would be a welcome boost to Leicester's defensive options given he's been missing. Aaron Ramsey and Bobby Nelson also remain doubts heading in.
For Blackburn, Aynsley Pears, Hayden Carter and Sidnei Tavares are all absent. Carter at the back is a noticeable miss for O'Neill. That said, Blackburn's attacking options remain solid. Yuki Ohashi leads their scoring charts with 10 goals in 45 appearances, and Riku Morishita has chipped in with nine assists alongside four goals this season. There's enough quality to cause a struggling Leicester backline problems.
Head-to-Head Gives Blackburn the Edge
The head-to-head record between these sides is firmly in Blackburn's favour in recent meetings. They beat Leicester 2-0 at Leicester's ground back in November, and the same scoreline went Blackburn's way in May 2024. Before that, Leicester put four past Blackburn at Ewood Park in October 2023, but the pattern across the more recent clashes points in one direction.
Blackburn have won three of the last four meetings across all competitions. That's not nothing, especially when Leicester arrive in this kind of form and with serious question marks over their attacking options.
The Betting Angle
This match has draw written all over it on paper, two sides scrapping at the wrong end of the Championship, neither playing with fluency, and both carrying absences. But the H2H, the home record advantage Blackburn have over Leicester's away form, and the potential absence of Fatawu tips this slightly toward the home side getting something meaningful from it.
Given both defences are leaky and neither attack is firing, Under 2.5 goals feels a reasonable lean. Five of the last six meetings between these clubs have seen limited scoring, and the pressure-cooker nature of a relegation six-pointer tends to produce tight, nervy football rather than open exchanges.
When the markets open, Blackburn to Win or Draw (Double Chance) at Ewood Park looks like the sensible play given everything in the data. Back Blackburn here.
Odds: 2.28 โ Grosvenor
Blackburn have won three of the last four head-to-heads, Leicester are winless in five and potentially without Fatawu, their most dangerous attacker. Ewood Park has been no fortress this season but against a Leicester side this short of confidence, O'Neill's men should at minimum avoid defeat.