Chelsea vs Tottenham Betting Tips 2026

Chelsea vs Tottenham: London Derby Preview

Two clubs heading in very different directions meet at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday night. Chelsea are a mid-table mess with one eye already on next season, while Tottenham are scrambling to stay out of a relegation scrap they should never have been anywhere near. Roberto De Zerbi’s side sit 17th with 38 points, and any romantic notions of their away record saving them are wearing thin. This one matters far more for Spurs than it does for the Blues.

Form and League Position

Chelsea’s last five reads badly on paper: two wins, a draw, and two defeats, with 8 goals conceded across those matches. Calum McFarlane’s side were beaten at home by Nottingham Forest 1-3 and haven’t looked convincing for weeks. The 0-3 loss at Brighton was brutal. That said, the 1-1 draw at Liverpool shows they can still be competitive on their day, and at Stamford Bridge they’ve gone W6 D5 L7 this season, which is patchy but not catastrophic.

Tottenham’s form is a strange one. They’ve picked up results away from home, winning at Aston Villa and Wolves recently, but their home record is genuinely dreadful: W2 D6 L10. De Zerbi’s side away from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium look like a different animal. Here’s the problem though: they’re the away side tonight, and Chelsea at home is a different proposition to Wolves or Sunderland.

João Pedro has been Chelsea’s standout all season with 15 goals and 5 assists in 34 appearances. Cole Palmer has chipped in with 9 goals in just 24 games. On the Spurs side, Richarlison leads with 10 goals and 4 assists, though Dominic Solanke is missing for this one. Losing your striker at 17th in the table is not ideal timing.

Injuries and Team News

Chelsea have Adarabioyo, Essugo, and Badiashile all absent. None of those absences are likely to derail their plans significantly in terms of attacking output, but defensive cover is thinner than McFarlane would like.

For Tottenham, losing Solanke and Bissouma in the same fixture is painful. Solanke was offering something different up front, and Bissouma is one of De Zerbi’s key midfield engines. Udogie at left back is also out, which leaves the defensive shape exposed. James Maddison, fresh from lambasting VAR officials after a disputed late penalty call in their last match, is a name in the news and apparently fit and fired up, which could mean something. Or it could mean nothing. But the absence list around him is the bigger concern.

Head-to-Head

Chelsea have dominated this fixture recently, and the record is damning for Spurs. Chelsea won 1-0 at Spurs in November 2025. Before that, it was Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham at Stamford Bridge last April. Go back to December 2024 and Tottenham 3-4 Chelsea. The season before that, Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham. And the one before that, Tottenham 1-4 Chelsea. Four wins and a draw across five meetings, with Chelsea winning every single one at Stamford Bridge in that run. Tottenham have not beaten Chelsea in this fixture since before the current sample. That’s a psychological weight as much as a statistical one.

The Betting Angle

The H2H is a hammer. Chelsea’s home dominance against this specific opponent is consistent across multiple seasons and multiple managers. Yes, Chelsea’s own form is patchy, but Tottenham’s away performances against top-half sides have not been at the level of their wins at Villa or Wolves. They’ve beaten soft underbellies and scraped results. Stamford Bridge against a side with João Pedro, Palmer, and Neto available is a step up.

With Solanke and Bissouma both out and Chelsea’s confirmed FA Cup semi-final win over Leeds in their legs from last month, there’s confidence in the camp. Chelsea at 2.22 represents real value given the head-to-head pattern and Spurs’ crippling injury absentees at the back and in midfield.