Danish Golf Championship Betting Tips | August 2026

DP World Tour

The DP World Tour arrives in Denmark for the Danish Golf Championship at Great Northern, where a relatively open field promises value for those willing to look beyond the headline names. With the tournament falling in mid-August, course conditions should be pristine, and the Great Northern layout will test every aspect of the game. This is a field lacking genuine worldwide stars, but that’s precisely where the value punter thrives.

Outright Favourites

Joaquin Niemann heads the market at 22/1 with bet365, and on first glance that looks reasonable for a player of his calibre in this company. Our analysis puts him at an 11.1% chance of victory, which would make 8/1 the fair price. At 22/1, then, there’s theoretical value, though the Chilean’s elite ball-striking will need to translate to a course he’s facing for the first time this week. With a make-cut probability of 84% and a 43% chance of a top-10 finish, Niemann is the class act here, but backing favourites at 22/1 requires genuine conviction.

Eugenio Chacarra sits second in the probability rankings at 5.0%, which translates to around 19/1 in a fair market. The Spaniard has shown flashes of quality on the DP World Tour and represents a solid each-way proposition if the bookmakers price him generously. With a 30% top-10 probability and 79% make-cut rate, he’s a player who should be in the mix come Sunday.

Patrick Reed completes the top three in our ratings at 4.0% (24/1 implied). The American’s combative style and proven pedigree make him a dangerous opponent in any field, though his DP World Tour form remains a question mark. At 27% for a top-10 finish, Reed is a name worth watching, but the odds will need to be generous to justify backing him outright.

Each-Way Value

Oliver Lindell Each-Way at 50/1 with bet365 catches the eye immediately. We rate the Finn at 36/1, so there’s genuine value in that 50/1 price. With a 21% top-10 probability and 72% make-cut rate, Lindell profiles as exactly the type of solid, consistent performer who can sneak into the places at big odds. At 1/5 odds for five places, he’s a bet that pays 10/1 for a top-five finish, and that looks more than fair given his 2.7% win probability.

Jayden Schaper Each-Way is available at an outrageous 1000/1 with bet365, and while those odds might suggest a no-hoper, our numbers tell a very different story. We have Schaper at 46/1, which makes that four-figure price utterly absurd. The South African has a 2.1% win chance and 19% top-10 probability. Someone at bet365 has made a significant error here, and punters should take full advantage. Even at 1/5 odds, that’s 200/1 for a top-five finish from a player we rate at genuine each-way odds.

Casey Jarvis Each-Way presents another value opportunity at 28/1 with William Hill. Our ratings suggest 54/1 is closer to his true chance, so this isn’t quite the steal that Schaper represents, but the 1.8% win probability and 16% top-10 rate make him worth a small each-way investment. At 28/1, you’re getting roughly half his fair odds, which in a field this open could prove profitable.

Players to Watch

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen brings local knowledge to Great Northern, and the home support could prove valuable. Available at 500/1 with bet365, the Danish hopeful has a 1.8% win chance according to our ratings (53/1 fair value), making that price far too big. With a 67% make-cut probability, he’s not just a romantic punt.

Victor Perez is another at massive odds (1500/1 with bet365) despite our model rating him at 55/1. The Frenchman’s 1.8% win probability and 68% make-cut rate suggest someone capable of contending, not an outsider in four figures.

Angel Ayora sits fourth in our probability rankings at 4.0% (24/1 implied) and represents a genuine dark horse if the bookmakers underestimate his chances. With a 25% top-10 rate and 75% make-cut probability, the Spaniard deserves respect.

Our Pick