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DS Automobiles 83deg Open d’Italia Betting Tips | June 2026

📅 27 June 2026 Golf

DP World Tour

The DP World Tour returns to Italy this week as Circolo Golf Torino hosts the DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia. The prestigious tournament brings a competitive field to the Turin venue, where course management and precision iron play typically separate the contenders from the also-rans. With England preparing to face India in tomorrow’s ODI series opener and snooker’s elite battling in Hong Kong and Leicester, golf punters have a rare midweek opportunity to get value down on a field that looks refreshingly open.

Outright Favourites

Joaquin Niemann heads the market at 9/1 with bet365, a price that aligns perfectly with our analysis giving him a 10.1% chance of victory. The Chilean sits top of our pre-tournament ratings with an 85% probability of making the cut and a 43% chance of landing a top-10 finish. Those numbers reflect elite ball-striking consistency, and at the quoted price, there’s no edge either way. He’s the rightful favourite, but punters chasing value should look further down the board.

David Puig represents more interesting territory at 14/1 with bet365. We rate him at 16/1 implied probability (5.8%), so the market has him marginally short, but his top-10 percentage of 32% and near-80% cut probability suggest he’ll be in the mix come the weekend. The Spaniard brings solid strokes-gained metrics across the board without any glaring weakness, making him a safer favourite play than the raw odds suggest.

Patrick Reed completes the leading trio at 14/1 with bet365, though other books push to 15/1 at FanDuel. Our ratings have him at 17/1 implied (5.6%), making the 15/1 available a touch generous. Reed’s 34% top-10 probability is the highest among players priced in double figures, and his 83% cut rate tops this section of the market. If you’re backing a favourite, Reed at the bigger price offers fractionally better value than Puig.

Each-Way Value

Daniel Hillier Each-Way stands out at 25/1 with bet365. We have the New Zealander at 31/1 implied probability (3.1%), making the 25/1 available a clear overlay. His 23% chance of a top-10 finish and 75% cut probability justify each-way interest at 1/5 odds over five places. Hillier’s game travels well to European layouts, and his strokes-gained profile suggests he can compile a score without needing his absolute best stuff.

Matt Wallace Each-Way offers similar appeal at the same 25/1 with bet365, though DraftKings stretch to 31/1 for those with accounts. Our analysis puts him at 38/1 implied (2.6%), so even the shorter price represents value. Wallace’s 21% top-10 probability and 74% cut rate mean he’ll likely be around on the weekend, and at these odds, you only need him to sneak into the places to show profit on the each-way stakes. His attacking style can produce low numbers when the course sets up favourably.

Oliver Lindell Each-Way presents the biggest price discrepancy on the board. Betway lead at 33/1, while Pinnacle offer a generous 41.59/1. We rate him at 45/1 implied probability (2.2%), meaning both prices offer genuine value, but the Pinnacle quote is exceptional. His 19% top-10 chance might seem modest, but at these odds, that represents strong each-way value, particularly with 72% cut probability suggesting he’ll be battling for position through the weekend.

Players to Watch

Eugenio Chacarra brings LIV Golf pedigree to Turin at 22/1 with bet365. His 4.0% win probability and 27% top-10 chance mark him as a threat if he brings his best form, while the 78% cut rate suggests consistency. At the quoted price, he’s fair value rather than a standout bet, but worth monitoring for in-play opportunities.

Thomas Detry has drifted to 22/1 with bet365, with betonline stretching to 28/1. We have him at 29/1 implied (3.4%), so the bigger prices represent value. The Belgian’s 24% top-10 probability and 76% cut rate make him a solid proposition, though preference goes to the longer-priced each-way angles above.

Tom McKibbin slots in at 33/1 with bet365, matching our 35/1 model probability. The young Northern Irishman’s 22% top-10 chance and 74% cut rate reflect growing maturity, but at current odds, he’s neither generous nor prohibitively short.

Our Pick

Patrick Reed (Each-Way)
Odds: 15/1 – FanDuel (others: 14/1 bet365, 15.5/1 betcris)

Reed combines favourite credentials with a discernible price edge at the top end of the market. Our analysis puts him at 17/1 implied probability, making FanDuel’s 15/1 the value play among the leading contenders. His 34% top-10 probability leads all players priced in double figures, while the 83% cut rate suggests he’ll be in the hunt throughout. Back him each-way at 1/5 odds over five places.

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