Dundee 
St Mirren Relegation Six-Pointer at Dens Park
Three points separate these two sides in the Premiership relegation group, and both of them know what's at stake when they meet at Dens Park on Saturday. Dundee sit 9th on 33 points, ST Mirren right behind them in 10th on 30. This is the kind of match that defines seasons, and neither side can afford to be passive about it.
Dundee's form, though, is a serious concern. They've lost four of their last five, with the most recent outing a 0-3 drubbing away at Dundee United. That's not just a defeat, it's the kind of result that gets into players' heads. Five goals scored against ten conceded across their last five outings tells you this is a squad short on confidence and leaking badly at the back. Their home record looks relatively respectable on paper, W6 D4 L6, but they've only managed two away wins all season and that Dundee United result will have done real damage to the dressing room.
ST Mirren aren't exactly flying either. Three defeats in their last five, and that FA Cup semi-final loss to Celtic on 19 April confirmed their cup ambitions are over after a 2-6 hammering. That's a brutal scoreline in a big occasion. But there are signs of life: back-to-back wins against Aberdeen at home and away at Falkirk before the cup run ended suggest they can compete when the motivation is right. And nothing motivates a side like a relegation dog fight with a direct rival.
Injuries and Team News
Dundee have a notable problem up front. Simon Murray, their top scorer this season with seven goals in 29 appearances, is listed as missing this fixture. Losing your most productive attacker in a game where you desperately need goals is a real blow. Paul Digby and C. Reilly are also absent, which further limits the options for the home side.
ST Mirren are without Liam Donnelly and C. McMenamin, but their squad depth looks marginally better placed to absorb the losses. Mandron and Freckleton have both contributed four goals each this season, and Ayunga, Phillips and Nlundulu all bring threat off the bench or from the start.
Head-to-Head
Dundee have had the better of this fixture recently. They won 3-1 here at Dens Park in November 2025, and before that beat ST Mirren 2-0 in April 2025. The January meeting this year ended 0-0 at the SMiSA Stadium. Three of the last five encounters have gone Dundee's way, which is worth noting, but those results came with Murray available and the side in better shape.
The Betting Angle
The Murray absence genuinely shifts my thinking on this one. He's responsible for seven of Dundee's league goals this season, and they've looked toothless without him historically. ST Mirren arrive with a point to prove after the Celtic humiliation, more goal threat across their forward line, and a three-point gap to make up. Their away form is poor across the season, W2 D4 L11, but there's a big difference between going to Ibrox in mid-season and turning up to Dens Park against a rattled side missing their main striker.
Dundee's home crowd might lift them early, but the morale hit from that Derby defeat combined with Murray being out makes it very hard to see them turning this into a convincing win. I'd lean toward ST Mirren getting something out of this, and both teams have shown enough attacking intent in recent games to make goals on both sides a genuine possibility. Six goals scored for each side in their last five matches, both conceding ten, screams a tight, messy game where either side could nick it.
The ST Mirren double chance feels like the smart play here given the circumstances. If you want more value and can handle the variance, BTTS has legs too given how open both defences have been.
Odds: 2.6 โ LeoVegas (SE)
Murray's absence strips Dundee of their main cutting edge at a moment when they're already low on confidence after that Derby hammering. ST Mirren have more goal threat to call on, three points to chase down, and a rivalry record that doesn't scare them. The double chance covers the draw and an away win, which feels like where this one is heading.