Everton vs Manchester City Betting Tips 2026

City on the March, Everton Running Out of Road

Manchester City roll into Goodison Park's replacement, Everton Stadium, on Monday night in the kind of form that makes you question why you'd even look at the alternatives in the market. Five wins from five across all competitions, 12 goals scored, just two conceded. Pep Guardiola's side beat Arsenal 2-1 at home, dismantled Chelsea 3-0 away, and then knocked Liverpool out of the FA Cup 4-0 before beating Southampton 2-1 to reach the FA Cup Final. This is a team hitting its stride at exactly the right time of the season.

Everton, by contrast, are on a run of three defeats in their last four league outings. A 3-0 home win over Chelsea gave some hope, but the losses to Liverpool and West Ham either side of it tell a more honest story. David Moyes is managing a mid-table side with a goal difference of exactly zero, sitting 11th. There's nothing here to suggest they're going to suddenly find something against the second-placed team in the country.

Injuries and Availability

Everton are without Harrison Armstrong, Vitaliy Mykolenko, and Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh, all confirmed absent. Losing Mykolenko at left-back is a problem, given City's attacking options on that flank. For City, Phil Foden, Aleks Khusanov, and Josko Gvardiol are all missing. Gvardiol is a genuine loss at left-back, but Guardiola has the depth to cover it. Foden's absence is significant in terms of creativity, but again, City have options. The injury list hurts Everton proportionally more given the gap in squad quality.

Head-to-Head: One-Way Traffic

The recent head-to-head record barely needs analysis. City have won three of the last five meetings, with the other two ending in a draw and a 1-1. Everton's last win in this fixture doesn't feature in the recent data at all. Earlier this season, City won 2-0 at Everton Stadium in October. Last season, City won 2-0 at the same ground in April 2025. Everton managed a 1-1 draw at the Etihad in December 2024, which is as good as it's got for Moyes recently in this matchup.

The Betting Angle

City at 1.51 to win is short, but it's short for a reason. Their form is relentless. They're fighting for the title, second in the table with 70 points, and they've just come through a brutal run of fixtures against Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, and Southampton with a perfect record. Everton at home have won six, drawn four, and lost seven this season. They're no fortress, and they're not playing well enough right now to beat a City side in this kind of rhythm.

The real question is goals. Over 2.5 at 1.67 is genuinely tempting given City's attacking output over the last five games. Everton have scored in their recent home games too, so this isn't a match where you'd expect City to park it. Their top scorers this season, Kieran Dewsbury-Hall and Beto both on eight goals, give Everton enough of an attacking threat to contribute to a goal tally, even in defeat. City conceded to Southampton and Arsenal in their last two home games, so clean sheets aren't guaranteed even for them.

But if you want the clean, straightforward call: City to win. The price reflects the reality of this match perfectly. You're not getting value by trying to be clever with a draw or an Everton shock at 7.2. City are in form, they've won this fixture convincingly in recent memory, and Everton are limping through the final weeks of the season.