Everton vs Manchester City Betting Tips 2026

City in the Form of Their Lives, Everton Trying to Stay Relevant

Monday night football at Everton Stadium, and this one has a pretty clear narrative. Manchester City are flying, Everton are sputtering, and the odds reflect exactly that. But there's always a betting angle worth digging into, so let's get into it.

David Moyes has steadied Everton over the course of this 2025/26 campaign, but the recent run has been rough. Three defeats in the last five, including a 1-2 home loss to Liverpool and a 0-2 battering at Arsenal. The one bright spot was a thumping 3-0 win over Chelsea at home, which at least shows they can produce on their own pitch. But City are a very different animal to that Chelsea side. Defensively, Everton have shipped eight goals across their last five matches. That's not a team you back to contain Erling Haaland.

City, meanwhile, are in ruthless form. Five wins from five, with twelve goals scored and just two conceded. They've beaten Arsenal 2-1 at the Etihad, put Chelsea to the sword 3-0 away, and dismantled Liverpool 4-0 in the FA Cup. Pep Guardiola's side look sharp, organised, and hungry. With the title race still alive at 70 points and second place secured, this is a team with plenty of motivation to keep racking up wins.

Injuries and Team News

Everton are missing Harrison Armstrong, Vitaliy Mykolenko, and Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh ahead of this one. Mykolenko's absence matters on the left side of defence, and losing options in depth when you're already vulnerable doesn't help Moyes's cause.

City are without Phil Foden, Khusanov, and Gvardiol. Foden has been decent this season with seven goals in 28 appearances, so his absence is notable in the creative department. That said, when you've got Haaland leading the line with 24 goals in 32 games, you're never toothless. Antoine Semenyo has chipped in with five goals from just 12 appearances, showing there's real depth in the attacking options even when Foden sits out.

Head-to-Head: One Direction

The last five meetings between these sides tell one story. City have won four of them and drawn one, with Everton failing to score in three of those fixtures. The most recent, back in October 2025, finished City 2-0 Everton. Before that, the April 2025 fixture at Goodison ended 0-2 to City as well. Back in December 2024, it was a 1-1 draw at City's place, but that was very much the outlier. There is no version of recent history here that gives Everton backers much hope.

Everton sit 11th on 47 points. City are second on 70. That 23-point gap isn't just a number, it reflects the genuine quality difference between these squads right now.

The Betting Angle

City at 1.5 is short, and it's short for very good reason. Five wins on the spin, a dominant H2H record, Haaland fit and firing with 24 league goals, and an Everton defence that's been leaking goals. The value isn't there for the match result in isolation, so the smarter conversation is around goals.

Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.67. In four of the last five H2H meetings, the total goals hit two or more, and in games featuring this City side recently, they've rarely been involved in low-scoring affairs. City scored four against Liverpool, three against Chelsea, two against Arsenal. Everton, for their part, scored three against Chelsea and conceded two against West Ham and two against Liverpool at home. Goals feel inevitable here.

That said, if you want a straightforward pick with conviction, City to win is still the call. Everything points the same way: form, fitness depth, head-to-head dominance, and league position. Moyes will set up to be hard to beat, but City have shown this season they can break down low blocks and win ugly when needed. The 1.5 price just needs this to land, and the probability of a City win here is very high.