End of Season, But Fenerbahçe Have a Point to Prove
Matchday 34 and Fenerbahçe are sitting second in the Süper Lig, 73 points banked, unbeaten at home all season. Eleven wins and five draws at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadyumu. Not a single home defeat. That kind of record doesn’t happen by accident, and against a side currently 13th with a goal difference of minus 15, the hosts will be heavily fancied to sign off in front of their own fans with three points.
Eyüpspor have had a rough campaign by any measure. Three wins at home, nine away defeats, and a squad that simply hasn’t had the firepower to compete at the top end of this division. Umar Bozok leads their scoring with six goals in 31 appearances, which tells you everything about the attacking output they’ve been working with.
Form and Firepower
Fenerbahçe’s form over the last five is mixed on paper, but look closer. The 0-3 loss came away at Galatasaray, the 0-1 cup exit was also on the road at Konyaspor. At home, they’ve been a completely different side, taking seven points from three in league action with a 3-1 win over Başakşehir and a 2-2 draw with Rizespor before that. The Konyaspor away win, 3-0, shows they can still click when the gears engage.
Talisca has been the standout performer this season, 19 goals and 4 assists in 30 appearances. Marco Asensio has chipped in with 11 goals and 12 assists in 25 games. That’s genuine top-level output for a Süper Lig campaign. Eyüpspor have to contain that, and recent evidence suggests they can’t.
Eyüpspor’s last five has a decent surface to it, three wins including a 4-0 hammering of Rizespor and a 3-0 at home to Gaziantep FK. But those results came against relegation-threatened opposition at their own ground, or narrow away wins against sides with nothing left to play for. Facing a Fenerbahçe attack of this quality at the Şükrü Saracoğlu is a different ask entirely.
Head-to-Head and Injuries
The head-to-head between these two this season tells a clean story. Fenerbahçe won 3-0 away at Eyüpspor in December, and they won 2-1 at home in the fixture that took place last May. The only blemish in recent meetings was a 1-1 draw at Eyüpspor’s ground in December 2024, which was last season. Since then, Fenerbahçe have won both encounters.
On the team news front, Fenerbahçe are without Mert Müldür, M. Yandaş, and Aktürkoğlu, which does take a bit of pace and creativity out of the mix. Aktürkoğlu in particular has contributed 6 goals and 7 assists this season, so his absence matters. Eyüpspor are sweating over Luccas Claro and Ufuk Meras, while Saiz is also missing. Neither squad is at full strength, but the depth at Fenerbahçe’s disposal comfortably outstrips what Eyüpspor can call on.
The Betting Angle
At 1.3, Fenerbahçe to win is short. There’s no getting around that. But the case for laying this bet down is straightforward: unbeaten at home all season, one of the most clinical attacks in the league, a visiting side with the worst away record in the lower half of the table, and a head-to-head that has gone Fenerbahçe’s way convincingly this season.
The draw at 6.6 sounds tempting until you remember Eyüpspor have managed just three home wins all year and lose away nine times in 16 attempts. An Eyüpspor win at 11 is not a realistic proposition here. The value, such as it is, sits firmly with the home side. Short prices win most of the time for a reason, and this one is backed by genuine statistical foundation rather than just reputation.
Odds: 1.3 — BoyleSports
Fenerbahçe are unbeaten at home across the entire 2025/26 Süper Lig season, and Eyüpspor have lost nine of their 16 away league games this campaign. Talisca and Asensio have the quality to unlock this defence even with Aktürkoğlu missing, and the head-to-head has gone comfortably in Fenerbahçe’s favour in both meetings this season.
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