Ffos Las Tips: Thursday 4 June 2026

Ffos Las Tips: Thursday 4 June 2026

A six-race card at Ffos Las this evening under light rain on good ground. The Welsh track plays fair for front-runners and horses that travel smoothly, and with the ground described as good despite the precipitation, we should get a proper surface rather than anything testing. Kieran Shoemark and David Probert are the names to follow from a jockey angle here, both posting strong course records. With the Epsom Derby just two days away, the big Saturday build-up is already gathering pace, but there is solid value to be found on a weeknight card like this one if you pick your spots. Here are the selections.

6:20 — Simply Safe Care Group Handicap (5f, Good, 8 runners)

Selection: Guernsey Lady (5/1, David Evans / J F Egan)

Guernsey Lady ticks several boxes for this one. She won a novice race on good ground last summer, so the going suits, and her handicap form has been more respectable than her overall record suggests. A close third at Bath just two weeks ago, after a 142-day absence, is a serious piece of form. Coming back for a second run after that break, fit and bouncing, she should strip sharper here over a trip that looks ideal at 5f.

David Evans runs two in this race and his yard has been in fair nick over the past fortnight at 4/17. Egan takes the ride, and the combination of fresh-for-the-season form and good-ground conditions makes this a strong each-way case at 5/1.

Arishka’s Dream is the market leader at 3/1 and clearly has a chance after his all-weather form, but he was too keen on his turf debut at Ripon and may not have fully settled into turf sprinting yet. La Belle Forest at 11/4 is short enough given her underwhelming handicap debut at Southwell. Guernsey Lady at 5/1 offers the better value.

6:50 — Llanelli Mind Novice Stakes (7½f, Good, 7 runners)

Selection: Real Trouble Each-Way (3/1, Archie Watson / Kieran Shoemark)

Persian Land is the 8/13 favourite on the strength of a Haydock win where he was outpaced before the leaders stopped in front of him on soft ground. The Spotlight note hits the nail on the head: he could have been flattered. A step up in class and a different surface makes that form look fragile at short odds.

Real Trouble is the far more interesting proposition. He cost 105,000gns, is already gelded which tells you connections mean business, and he shaped with genuine promise at Newcastle over 6f, only weakening late having clearly needed the run. The step to 7.5f looks like it could be the making of him, and the RPR of 78 already puts him well clear of Persian Land on ratings.

Kieran Shoemark takes the ride and his Ffos Las record is strong at 16% course winners. Archie Watson’s last 14 days show just 2/32 which gives some pause, but for a yard that is genuinely trying first time out with a well-bred animal, that stat matters less. At 3/1 with the each-way terms of two places at 1/4, this is worth covering both ways given the unknown quantities in the field.

Another Encore at 8/1 is interesting on breeding alone as a 60,000gns colt from a strong family, and worth a small saver if you want to spread the risk further.

7:20 — Pro Panther Handicap (1m, Good, 13 runners)

Selection: Sixfiveseven Each-Way (10/1, J S Moore / Taylor Fisher)

Thirteen runners, a mile on good ground, and a horse that won at Newmarket in late 2024 on good going with confirmed soft-ground ability on top. Sixfiveseven ticks a lot of boxes for a saver at 10/1 in a wide-open handicap.

His form reads 177/96, and the Spotlight notes his second run back from a lengthy break was improved on the first. That is the pattern of a horse training back into form, and a realistic mark is flagged specifically by the assessors. Taylor Fisher has a solid course record at 16% from 37 rides, and his A/E of 1.12 shows he delivers better than market expectations at this track.

The main danger is Grey Soul, who won at Newcastle in first-time blinkers and is now tried in cheekpieces. Kieran Shoemark takes the ride which is always a positive here, but switching headgear can be a one-run trick and the price at 6/1 does not adequately compensate for that uncertainty.

Thiscouldbefun at 22/1 is arguably the most intriguing outsider. Two 1m wins last year including one on good to firm, and Ashley Lewis claims 5lb. The absence since December is a question mark, but she could run a big race fresh. Small saver only.

At four places, the each-way terms in this 13-runner handicap are genuinely attractive and Sixfiveseven at 10/1 each-way represents the best return if he runs to his better form.

Today’s NAP

Guernsey Lady — Simply Safe Care Group Handicap (6:20, Ffos Las)
Odds: 5/1 — Boyle Sports (others: 5/1 Betfred, 5/1 LiveScore Bet)

Third at Bath on her return from a 142-day break, on good ground, over a similar trip. Second run of the season now, fit and proven on this going, trained by David Evans who has the yard firing at 4/17 over the last fortnight. The Bath run was close and competitive. She has every right to go one better here at a price that the market has not fully accounted for.