Fiorentina 
Sassuolo Fiorentina vs Sassuolo: Viola Under Pressure at the Franchi
This one looks more awkward than the odds suggest. Fiorentina are sitting 15th in Serie A with 36 points and a goal difference of -7. That's a side that has been grinding out results without any great conviction, and Paolo Vanoli's squad is coming into this with some genuine injury headaches. Sassuolo, meanwhile, are comfortably mid-table in 10th on 45 points and arrive at the Artemio Franchi with nothing to fear and something to prove.
The Conference League adventure adds a layer of context here. Fiorentina beat Crystal Palace 2-1 in the quarter-final second leg on April 16 to progress, but they got thumped 3-0 in the first leg at Palace on April 9. European football takes its toll, and a squad already stretched by injuries is not going to be refreshed heading into Sunday's 11:30 kickoff.
Injury Concerns and Team News
The Gosens news is the one that stings most. A fresh injury to the German has been flagged in the last 72 hours, and he's confirmed as missing this fixture. Rolando Mandragora is also out, which hurts badly: six goals and three assists in 30 appearances this season, he's been one of Fiorentina's most productive players from midfield. Add Abdelhamid Sabiri to the absentee list and Vanoli is working with a significantly depleted group.
Sassuolo aren't completely clean either. Kristian Thorstvedt is confirmed missing, and Simone Walukiewicz is listed as questionable, with Davide Boloca also out. But Fabio Grosso still has Domenico Berardi (7 goals, 4 assists in 22 appearances) and Andrea Pinamonti (8 goals, 3 assists in 31 appearances) available to cause problems. Armand Laurientรฉ has 8 assists in 33 apps this season and is the kind of creator who can unlock a tired backline.
Form and Head-to-Head
Fiorentina's last five reads: a draw at Lecce, home wins over Crystal Palace and Lazio, a hammering at Crystal Palace, and a narrow win at Hellas Verona. Five scored, five conceded across those games. It's inconsistent at best, and the Palace loss showed how exposed they can be when pressed aggressively away from home.
Sassuolo's recent run is similarly mixed but arguably more credible in the league context. They beat Como and Cagliari at home, drew at Juventus, then lost at Genoa and at home to Bologna. They're scoring goals though, and their attackers are in decent nick.
The head-to-head is interesting. Sassuolo won the reverse fixture this season 3-1 back in December. Last season saw a wild 5-1 Fiorentina home win in April 2024, but that followed a 1-0 Sassuolo away win in January 2024. These two tend to produce goals when they meet, and neither defence has been particularly solid across recent meetings.
The Betting Angle
Fiorentina at 2.04 to win at home looks thin given everything. They're without Mandragora and Gosens, their league form has been patchy all season, and they're carrying fatigue from European football. Sassuolo at 4.4 is genuinely interesting as a value play, but the home advantage is real even for a struggling side.
The market I'd target here is goals. Both teams have scoring threat, both have defensive vulnerabilities, and the H2H consistently produces action. The Over 2.5 Goals line at 1.95 is the one. The December reverse fixture ended 3-1. The April 2024 meeting was 5-1. Even the more cagey results in this series have featured late drama. A depleted Fiorentina midfield against Sassuolo's front three, at a ground where the Viola have won just four of their 16 home league games this season, feels like a recipe for an open, edgy contest.
Odds: 1.95 โ Winamax (DE)
Without Mandragora and Gosens, Fiorentina's midfield control is shot, leaving them vulnerable to a Sassuolo side with Berardi and Pinamonti firing. The head-to-head repeatedly delivers goals, the December meeting ended 3-1, and a fatigued home side missing key personnel is the kind of setup where matches open up early and stay open.