Kempton (AW) Tips: Monday 10 August 2026

Kempton (AW) Tips: Monday 10 August 2026

A Monday evening card at Kempton on standard to slow all-weather ground. Three races to get stuck into: a 2m stayers’ handicap with a legitimate favourite, and a pair of newcomers’ maiden events where trainer form and breeding become the primary guides. Nothing here screams value banker at short odds, which actually suits the punter willing to go each-way in the right spots.

2:30 — Unibet/EBF Newcomers’ Restricted Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (7f)

Selection: Tikka (10/3, Boyle Sports / LiveScore Bet)

James Fanshawe knows this track inside out. His 17% strike rate at Kempton from over 1,000 runners is the kind of number that commands respect, and while his last 14 days reads 2/18, that volume tells you the yard is active and not in any sort of shutdown. Daniel Muscutt takes the ride, a jockey who rides Kempton regularly and knows how to time a run around this track.

In a 12-runner newcomers’ maiden where every filly is running for the first time, trainer confidence and stable support in the market matter enormously. Tikka is as short as 10/3 at Boyle Sports and LiveScore Bet despite carrying the unknown of debut, which signals stable confidence. Fanshawe rarely sends a debutant into a race like this without genuine belief it can run a big race first time out.

Greta Tintin for Andrew Balding is a credible alternative at 7/2. Balding’s 15% strike rate at Kempton is solid, and 8/54 runners over 14 days confirms the yard is in full swing heading into York Ebor week. Hidden Beyond at 4/1 for Charles Hills also deserves respect. But Tikka at a fractionally bigger price with the Fanshawe Kempton edge gets the nod.

3:00 — Unibet/EBF Newcomers’ Restricted Maiden Stakes (7f)

Selection: Celtic Storm Each-Way (11/2, Boyle Sports / Betfred)

Richard Hughes has sent out 4 winners from 29 runners in the last 14 days, a productive clip for a trainer who has always had a sharp eye for placing juveniles. Pat Dobbs is a smart booking on the all-weather, a jockey who reads pace well and won’t panic on a first-time-out runner.

With 12 runners all making their debut, this is a crap-shoot to some extent, but Celtic Storm at 11/2 looks the most professionally-backed runner in the race. The each-way case is straightforward: 12 runners, 3 places paid at 1/5 odds, and a price that delivers real returns if he runs into a place on debut. Hughes’s runners tend to be ready first time out, and Dobbs will know exactly how to position him over 7 furlongs.

Find Your Fire at 13/2 for Stuart Williams and Storm Force Ten at 11/1 for the in-form Jamie Osborne stable are both worth noting for each-way punters looking to cover the race.

5:00 — Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (2m, London Stayers’ Series Qualifier)

Selection: Believitanducan (7/4, Boyle Sports / Betfred)

Three wins in his last four starts is a form line that demands respect in any 2m handicap, and Alan King’s yard has been ticking over, sending out a winner in the last 14 days. Luke Catton picks up the claim, which takes a useful chunk off the topweight burden, and Believitanducan has already shown he handles this trip and this type of ground.

The 44-day absence since his last win is the only real concern cited, but horses who win three from four often return refreshed rather than rustier, and King is a trainer who times his horses well. At 7/4 this is not a price for each-way play, but the win case is strong: consistent stayer, a trainer who fires his horses fit, and a claimer who lightens the load.

Premiere Ligne at 9/2 for Hughie Morrison is the main danger on ratings, carrying the highest speed figure in the field, but the form line reads 20/967 and Morrison’s last 14 days shows 0/7. That yard is cold right now. Maxident at 7/1 for Kevin Philippart De Foy is the each-way play in the race if you want more generous terms: his 15% Kempton strike rate has genuine substance, and Maxident’s form of /421-2 shows consistent placed efforts over this trip.

Each-way alternative: Maxident Each-Way (7/1, Boyle Sports / Betfred) — 4 places at 1/5 odds makes this a genuinely profitable each-way option in a 12-runner stayers’ heat.

Today’s NAP

Believitanducan — Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (5:00, Kempton AW)
Odds: 7/4 — Boyle Sports (others: 7/4 Betfred, 13/8 LiveScore Bet)

Three wins from four starts, proven at 2 miles on standard to slow all-weather ground, and a 3lb claim from Luke Catton that helps offset the topweight burden. Alan King has a winner on the board in the last fortnight, the yard is operational, and this horse arrives on the back of a strong winning sequence with no obvious reason for the form to collapse at a fair mark. Best odds available at Boyle Sports or Betfred at 7/4.