KLM Open Betting Tips | June 2026

DP World Tour

The DP World Tour heads to The International for the 2026 KLM Open, and this mid-season event arrives with a wide-open feel. With no dominant favourite in the field, this looks a tournament where course management and consistent ball-striking will separate the contenders from the also-rans. The bookmakers are struggling to separate a cluster of mid-tier European Tour regulars, which creates opportunities for bettors willing to dig into the strokes-gained data.

Outright Favourites

Sepp Straka heads the betting at 45/1 with bet365, though those odds feel generous given our analysis puts him at a 13/1 chance. That’s a significant market inefficiency. The Austrian has been posting solid numbers across the board, and with an 81% probability of making the cut and 35% chance of a top-10 finish, he offers genuine win potential at a price that doesn’t reflect his quality. Pinnacle stretch to 58/1, which borders on disrespectful.

Casey Jarvis sits at 27/1 in our ratings with a 3.6% win probability, though bookmaker prices are yet to settle at time of writing. The South African carries a 75% make-cut probability and 23% top-10 chance, numbers that suggest he’ll be in the mix come Sunday. His ball-striking metrics will be key on a course that rewards precision over power.

Eugenio Chacarra represents serious each-way value at 175/1 with bet365. We rate him at 27/1, the same as Jarvis, giving him a 3.6% win probability. That’s a chasm between market price and actual chance. The Spaniard posts a 24% top-10 probability and 75% make-cut rate, solid foundations for an each-way play at triple-figure odds. Each-Way

Each-Way Value

Daniel Hillier at 66/1 with bet365 looks a standout each-way proposition. Our analysis has him at 27/1, identical to Chacarra, with a 3.5% win chance and 24% top-10 probability. The New Zealander’s 75% cut-making likelihood suggests he’ll be around for the weekend, and at these odds, the each-way cushion provides excellent cover. Pinnacle push to 99/1, which makes bet365’s price look even sharper. Each-Way

Oliver Lindell is available at a staggering 1000/1 with Sky Bet, yet we rate him at 31/1. That’s not a typo. The 3.1% win probability and 23% top-10 chance are backed by a solid 75% make-cut rate. When bookmakers are this far out of line with underlying form metrics, it pays to take notice. The each-way terms of 1/5 odds over five places make this a compelling speculative play. Each-Way

Hennie Du Plessis represents another bookmaker miscalculation at 1000/1 with Sky Bet. Our numbers put him at 37/1, a 2.7% win chance that’s being offered at nearly 30 times that probability. His 19% top-10 likelihood and 69% cut-making rate suggest he’s capable of a decent week, and at four-figure odds, the risk-reward equation tilts heavily in the punter’s favour.

Players to Watch

Kota Kaneko arrives fresh from victory at the Austrian Alpine Open, his first European title. That winning momentum cannot be ignored, even if the bookmakers have overreacted slightly. Bet365 offer just 1.4/1, which feels cramped given our 75/1 rating. Still, recent winners often carry confidence into the next event, and a 68% make-cut probability suggests he’ll be competitive.

Ewen Ferguson sits at 275/1 with bet365 despite our ratings putting him at 49/1. The Scottish player carries a 2.0% win probability and 70% make-cut rate, numbers that suggest he’s being underestimated in a shallow market. His 17% top-10 chance makes him worth monitoring if you’re building multiples or looking for a solid each-way saver.

Martin Couvra rounds out the watch list at 500/1 with bet365. We have him at 45/1, a considerable gap that reflects bookmaker uncertainty around a relatively unknown quantity. His 2.2% win probability and 18% top-10 chance are backed by a 70% cut-making likelihood, suggesting the tools are there for a surprise performance.

Our Pick