Liverpool's Wobble Meets a Fulham Side Punching Above Their Weight
This is a tricky one to call, and anyone pretending otherwise hasn't been watching Liverpool lately. Arne Slot's side have dropped three on the bounce away from home in all competitions, including a 4-0 hammering at Manchester City in the FA Cup and a 2-0 defeat to PSG in the Champions League quarter-finals. Both confirmed results. Both brutal. The European dream is over, the domestic cup run is over, and now Liverpool welcome Fulham to Anfield needing a reaction they haven't shown on the road but will need to manufacture at home.
The home form at Anfield tells a different story, mind. Eight wins, four draws, three losses in the league at home this season. They beat Galatasaray 4-0 in the last home outing and drew 1-1 with Spurs before that. There's something left in this side when they're on their own patch. But 49 points and sitting fifth is a long way short of where Liverpool expected to be in 2025/26, and the pressure is mounting.
Hugo Ekitike leads their scoring with 11 goals in 28 appearances this season, and Cody Gakpo has contributed 6 goals and 3 assists across 29 games. Mohamed Salah has been more of a creator than a finisher this term, with 5 goals and 6 assists in just 22 appearances. Florian Wirtz has chipped in with 4 goals from 27 games. There's talent here, but the goals have dried up in the big moments away from home.
Fulham Are No Pushovers and the H2H Backs That Up
Marco Silva has quietly built something at Fulham. They sit ninth on 44 points, only five behind Liverpool, and their home record is actually better than Liverpool's this season: nine wins at Craven Cottage. Away from home they've been shakier, four wins in fifteen attempts, but this is a trip to Anfield, not a mid-table six-pointer they should be expected to dominate.
Harry Wilson is their key man with 10 goals and 6 assists in 29 games. Raúl Jiménez isn't far behind on 9 goals from 30 appearances. They scored three against Burnley in their last home game and have only conceded four goals across their last five matches, which includes a 0-0 at Nottingham Forest. They're not free-scoring away, but they're not open either.
The head-to-head record in this fixture should make Liverpool fans nervous. In the last five meetings: Fulham won 3-2 at home last April, drew 2-2 in January this season at Craven Cottage, and Liverpool drew 2-2 at Anfield in December 2024. These two teams share the ball between them. Only one of the last five H2H results ended with fewer than three goals, and Liverpool have only beaten Fulham once in the last five, a 3-1 win at Craven Cottage back in April 2024.
Injuries and Team News
Liverpool are without Joseph Gomez, Freddie Woodman, and Ryan Gravenberch for this one, with all three confirmed absent. Losing Gravenberch in midfield is a blow given the control he brings, and Slot will need to find a way to cover that. Fulham are missing Antonee Robinson, Ryan Sessegnon, and Rodrigo Muniz. Robinson at left-back is a genuine loss for Silva, but Muniz missing reduces their attacking threat from depth.
The Betting Angle
Liverpool at 1.69 to win feels short given their form. Three straight defeats, Gravenberch out, morale dented by back-to-back cup exits, and a Fulham side who have made Anfield a genuine test across multiple seasons. That said, home games at Anfield with something to prove after a tough run can produce a response.
The real value here is in the goals market. Four of the last five H2H meetings went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have players who can cause damage. Liverpool need to fire, Fulham have the attacking quality to exploit a rattled backline, and the mood around Anfield will demand a high-tempo, end-to-end performance. Over 2.5 Goals at 1.52 isn't a massive price but it's grounded in genuine pattern.
The match result tip though: Liverpool to win. Not with total conviction, but at Anfield, after public humiliation in two cups, with Ekitike and Salah available and a crowd that will demand a performance. Fulham's away form is four wins in fifteen. The Reds are flawed right now but they're still Liverpool at home, and 1.69 is the right call here.
Odds: 1.69 — Winamax (FR)
Three straight defeats have dented Liverpool, but Anfield at 17:30 on a Saturday with a crowd demanding a response is a different environment entirely. Fulham have won four of fifteen away games this season, and while they're dangerous, the home pressure and Ekitike's form should be enough to edge this one. Take the hosts.