Liverpool 
Fulham Liverpool's Horrible Run vs Fulham's Quiet Ambition
Liverpool head into Saturday's 17:30 kick-off at Anfield having been knocked out of both the FA Cup and the Champions League inside the space of four days. A 0-4 defeat away at Manchester City in the FA Cup quarter-final was followed by a 0-2 loss away to PSG in Europe. Three consecutive away defeats, nine goals conceded in the last five matches across all competitions. Arne Slot has a squad that looks mentally fragile right now, and Fulham's Marco Silva will know it.
Liverpool sit fifth in the Premier League on 49 points, and while they're still in the top half, the home record tells a conflicted story: W8 D4 L3 at Anfield this season. That's not the fortress it used to be. The title race looks long gone. This is a team playing out the string with pride on the line, and those games can go either way.
Fulham Are More Dangerous Than the Odds Suggest
Ninth on 44 points, Fulham are five behind Liverpool with a goal difference of -1 versus Liverpool's +8. But form over the last five? Fulham have been reasonable. They beat Burnley 3-1 at home, drew 0-0 away at Nottingham Forest, and took Spurs apart 2-1 at Craven Cottage. Yes, they lost at home to Southampton in the FA Cup and were beaten by West Ham, but the Premier League returns have been solid.
Harry Wilson has 10 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances this season. Raul Jimenez adds 9 goals in 30 apps. That's a functioning attack, and it's not getting enough credit in these odds. Fulham Win at 5.25 feels wide considering the current Liverpool form spiral.
For Liverpool, Hugo Ekitike leads the line with 11 goals and 4 assists in 28 appearances, which is genuinely impressive. Mohamed Salah has 5 goals and 6 assists in just 22 appearances. The individual quality is still there, but when you're shipping four at the Etihad and two to PSG, something is wrong beyond just the attack.
Injuries and Absentees
Liverpool are missing Joseph Gomez, Freddie Woodman, and Ryan Gravenberch, while Fulham are without Antonee Robinson, Ryan Sessegnon, and Rodrigo Muniz. Gravenberch's absence is the one that matters most in midfield for Slot's side. Robinson at left back will be a loss for Fulham's width. Neither squad is fully fit, but Liverpool's absentees arguably hurt more given the system Slot wants to play.
Head-to-Head: Liverpool Can't Put Fulham Away
The recent H2H record is wild. In the most recent meeting this season, Fulham drew 2-2 at Craven Cottage back in January 2026. Before that, in April 2025, Fulham beat Liverpool 3-2 at Craven Cottage. Go back to December 2024 and Liverpool drew 2-2 with Fulham at Anfield. Liverpool did win at Craven Cottage in April 2024, 3-2, but the pattern here is clear: these two sides score goals against each other and Liverpool have not been able to dominate this fixture the way you'd expect from a team with their resources.
Three of the last four Premier League meetings have produced three or more goals combined. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in this fixture in over two years.
The Betting Angle
Liverpool at 1.7 to win feels like it's pricing in reputation rather than current form. Three straight losses, nine goals shipped, out of two cup competitions, and now a tricky home game against a Fulham side with two reliable strikers and nothing to fear. The value simply isn't there at 1.7 for a home win.
Over 2.5 Goals at 1.54 is where the smarter money sits. Both teams have scored in every Premier League meeting going back over two years. Liverpool need goals to restore confidence. Fulham travel with Wilson and Jimenez fully capable of exploiting a shaky back line. With Gravenberch out and Liverpool's defensive structure looking porous, backing goals is the play.
Odds: 1.54 — Winamax (FR)
Every Premier League meeting between these two in the last two seasons has produced goals at both ends. Liverpool's defence has shipped nine in five games and are missing Gravenberch in midfield, while Fulham bring Wilson and Jimenez in genuine form. Back the goals.