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Market Rasen, Sunday 5th April 2026 – Tips, Angles and Best Bets

📅 5 April 2026 Horse Racing

Market Rasen, Sunday 5th April 2026 – Tips, Angles and Best Bets

A six-race card at Market Rasen on good ground. Not the deepest Sunday afternoon you'll ever see, but there are angles worth exploiting across the three featured races below. Good ground suits accurate jumpers and well-conditioned horses, so any yard firing at a strong strike rate right now carries extra weight. One stable stat jumps off the page today: Olly Murphy has sent out 7 winners from 22 runners in the last 14 days. That's a 32% strike rate. When a yard is that hot, you back their runners until the winners dry up.


2:13 — Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Maiden Hurdle (2m4½f, Good)

Six runners in this GBB maiden hurdle, and the market is essentially a three-horse race. Tread Carefully is the 6/5 favourite, trained by Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies, whose yard has five winners from 26 runners in the last fortnight. That's a respectable clip, but the form figure of U in the most recent run is a concern at this price, and an RPR of 121 heading into a maiden suggests this horse has had every opportunity to win one of these. The market hasn't forgotten that.

The selection here is Emerald Breeze at 7/2 with Bet365 or William Hill. The Dominic Elsworth gelding has an RPR of 118 and a TS of 104, both of which are solid for this level. The form reading of 44-323 tells a consistent story: not flash, not a world-beater, but a horse that runs his race every time and is creeping closer with experience. The good ground suits a horse with that kind of tidy, placed form rather than one that's had blowouts. David Bass rides Ade Boy, and Nigel Twiston-Davies has Sam Twiston-Davies in the plate for the favourite, so the connections are serious. But at 7/2, Emerald Breeze is overpriced relative to the favourite if you adjust for that recent unfinished run.

Pertemps at 5/1 with Olly Murphy's booking of James Bowen catches the eye given the yard's current form, but a P on the most recent start dampens enthusiasm. Stick with Emerald Breeze at the top of the market.

  • Selection: Emerald Breeze (7/2, Bet365 / William Hill)
  • Consistent placed form, solid RPR for the grade, good ground suits

3:23 — CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Novices' Handicap Chase (3m, Good)

Four runners over three miles, and this is where the Olly Murphy yard stat becomes your best friend. Dangerous Touch is the selection at 5/4 with William Hill. The seven-year-old has an RPR of 113 and a TS of 91, and the form figure of 453F22 is better than it looks: two consecutive second places coming into this. A horse finding the rhythm of placing consistently on the chase track is exactly the profile you want to follow when the yard behind it is running at over 30% in the last two weeks.

Tom Hutsby takes the ride claiming 10lbs, which means Dangerous Touch runs on a very competitive weight. At 3m on good ground, you need a stayer who jumps fluently and settles, and the recent placed form suggests this horse is doing exactly that. The fall in the F run shouldn't put you off: it's a single blot in an otherwise improving sequence.

Ballynaheer at 9/2 looks the main danger with form figures of 122114, which is frankly eye-catching, but David Dennis's yard is 0 from 3 in the last 14 days. Achille Des Rocs has course form and L J Morgan's stable is quiet. Rodney Bay has pulled up multiple times and can be ignored. This is Dangerous Touch's race to lose.

  • Selection: Dangerous Touch (5/4, William Hill)
  • Murphy yard firing, consistent placed form, big weight advantage via 10lb claim

3:58 — First Past The Post At CopyBet Handicap Chase (2m1f, Good)

Eight runners, three places, and some live each-way chances at price. The selection is Kally Des Bruyeres at 9/4 with Bet365. The form figures of 4F4514 include a recent win (the 1 in the sequence), an RPR of 103 and a TS of 89, and this horse has placed in four of its six chase starts. The fall is the only real blot, and the return to form since then has been clear. At this distance on good ground, a six-year-old with a TS of 95 who has already beaten a field over fences is the most reliable profile in the race.

Charlie Maggs claims 3lbs, keeping the weight down, and while David Dennis's yard is 0 from 3 in the last fortnight, that small sample shouldn't override what the form says. Kally Des Bruyeres is the value selection here at what is a fair but not skinny price.

Cawthorne Cracker at 4/1 is the obvious alternative. Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero have three winners from 28 runners lately, and the RPR of 108 is the joint highest in the field. The form of -552F5 is less inspiring, though. No win yet over fences and another fall on the card. Kally Des Bruyeres has already got off the mark in this sphere.

Beat The Edge Each-Way at 10/1 with Bet365 is worth a small each-way interest. An RPR of 109 is the highest in the field, and Micky Hammond has three winners from 24 runners in the last 14 days. The form of 554673 doesn't scream first, but it consistently puts this horse into the frame, and at 10/1 in an eight-runner handicap, the each-way terms of 3 places at 1/5 make this a compelling saver.

  • Main Selection: Kally Des Bruyeres (9/4, Bet365)
  • Each-Way Saver: Beat The Edge (10/1, Bet365)

Today's NAP

Dangerous Touch — CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Novices' Handicap Chase (3:23, Market Rasen)
Odds: 5/4 — William Hill (others: 11/8 Midnite, 2.62 Betfair Exchange)

Olly Murphy's yard is running at 32% over the last 14 days, and this horse arrives on consecutive placed runs over fences with a 10lb claim keeping the weight manageable. Two seconds in a row suggests a horse on the cusp of winning, good ground suits a clean-jumping chaser, and with only four rivals in a 3m novices' handicap, there's nowhere to hide. The market has it right at the head of affairs, and at 5/4 it still represents value given the yard's current form.

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