Masters Tournament Betting Tips — April 2026

Major

The azaleas are in bloom, the pimento cheese sandwiches are flying off the shelves, and the world's best golfers are descending on Augusta National for the 90th Masters Tournament. This year's edition carries extra intrigue: Rory McIlroy returns as defending champion, finally having completed his career Grand Slam in 2025, while Scottie Scheffler arrives as the man to beat after another dominant season. With bentgrass greens running at Stimpmeter 13 and Amen Corner lying in wait, precision will trump power over four days of the most pressure-packed golf on the calendar.

Outright Favourites

Scottie Scheffler has been the world's best player for the better part of three years, and Augusta National remains his most natural stage. At 6/1 with BetOnline, he's a short price, but our analysis puts him at 12% to win, which makes 7/1 the fair line. The market isn't offering value here, but you're backing class. Scheffler leads this field in strokes-gained approach, the single most important metric at Augusta, and his 92% make-cut probability underlines his consistency. He'll contend deep into Sunday, the only question is whether someone gets hotter with the putter.

Jon Rahm at 12/1 with Bovada (also 11.21/1 at Pinnacle, 11/1 with William Hill) looks a fair price given we have him at 7.3%, implying around 13/1. The Spaniard's ball-striking is elite, and Augusta's demand for controlled fades into right-to-left sloping greens suits his stock shot shape. With a 42% top-10 probability, he's a safe each-way play at 1/4 odds over five places, though the win bet at 12/1 is only marginal value. Rahm's record on fast greens is exceptional, and if he finds rhythm early, he'll be there at the weekend.

Rory McIlroy carries the burden and the confidence of defending champion. At 14.75/1 with Pinnacle (14.15/1 with BetCris, 14/1 with BetOnline), he's slightly shorter than our 16/1 model price, suggesting the market is overvaluing the title defence narrative. That said, his 6% win probability and 37% top-10 chance make him a genuine threat. McIlroy's iron play has been clinical this season, and his familiarity with Augusta's nuances, now unburdened by the weight of completing the Slam, could be the difference. The each-way angle is sound, but the outright price lacks edge.

Each-Way Value

Matt Fitzpatrick is the standout each-way selection at 23.5/1 with DraftKings Each-Way (also 22.5/1 with BetCris, 22/1 with BetMGM). We rate him at 4.3%, which implies 22/1, so anything north of that figure is generous. Fitzpatrick's game is built for Augusta: elite iron player, superb lag putter, and the kind of metronomic ball-striker who thrives on courses where mistakes are punished severely. His 32% top-10 probability and 85% make-cut rate make the each-way bet at 1/4 odds over five places a statistical gift. He won't blow the doors off, but he'll grind his way into contention.

Tommy Fleetwood offers another each-way angle at 25/1 with Bovada Each-Way (24.14/1 with Pinnacle, 22.5/1 with DraftKings). BonusDevil's ratings give him a 3.9% chance, which translates to around 24/1, so the 25/1 on offer is fair value, especially with five places paid. Fleetwood's strokes-gained approach numbers are consistently positive, and his temperament under major championship pressure is proven. He's never quite closed the deal in a major, but with a 32% top-10 probability, he's a banker for a place return. The 22.5/1 with DraftKings offers the most value if you're chasing a bigger number.

Min Woo Lee is the wildcard worth a small each-way nibble at 40/1 with BetOnline Each-Way (37.82/1 with Pinnacle, 35.53/1 with BetCris). We have him at 2.9%, implying around 33/1, so the 40/1 on offer is a legitimate overlay. Lee's game has matured significantly, and his ball-striking gains have been sharp this season. With a 26% top-10 probability and 81% make-cut rate, the five-place each-way terms make this a calculated punt. He's capable of a birdie blitz if the putter heats up, and at these odds, the downside is capped.

Players to Watch

• Rory McIlroy (14.75/1 Pinnacle) — defending champion, finally got the monkey off his back in 2025. The question now is whether he can back it up without the narrative pressure.
• Ludvig Aberg (18/1 BetOnline) — the Swedish prodigy has been electric in his debut major season. We have him at 3.8% (25/1 implied), so 18/1 is short, but his ceiling is sky-high.
• Hideki Matsuyama (30/1 Bovada) — always a factor at Augusta, where his iron play shines. At 3.4% win probability (29/1 implied), the 30/1 is fair for a proven major winner.

Our Pick

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