Millwall vs Hull City Betting Tips 2026

Championship Play-Off Semi-Final Second Leg: Millwall vs Hull City

This is as big as it gets in the Championship. Millwall and Hull City meet at The Den on Monday night for the second leg of their play-off semi-final, with the first leg ending 0-0 at Hull last Friday. Everything is still to play for, and with Wembley on the line, expect both sides to come out with something to say about it.

Millwall sit third in the table on 83 points, 10 clear of Hull in sixth. Alex Neil's side have been outstanding this season, particularly away from home, winning 11 of their 23 away fixtures. At The Den they've won 13 times. This is a team that knows how to grind results and, importantly, knows how to protect leads. The 0-0 in the first leg is a clean slate, but the Lions have home advantage and they'll know exactly what to do with it.

Form and Firepower

Millwall's recent form has been sharp. Four wins and a draw across their last five, including a 3-1 win at Stoke and a 2-0 home win over QPR. That run reads W W D W D in reverse, with only one of those not going their way, and even the draw at Leicester was a respectable result. They've scored eight and conceded just two across that run.

Hull's form is patchier. They beat Norwich 2-1 last time out, but that followed a 2-1 defeat at Charlton and a 1-1 draw at home to Birmingham. Sergej Jakirović's side have conceded six in their last five, which against Millwall's attacking options is a concern. O. Azeez leads the line for the Lions with 11 goals and 7 assists in 35 appearances, backed up by J. Coburn on 9 goals and M. Ivanović with 9 of his own from 44 outings. There's genuine threat across the front line.

Hull's danger comes through Oli McBurnie, who has been exceptional this season with 17 goals and 7 assists in 37 appearances, and Joe Gelhardt chipping in with 14 goals from 39 games. If Hull are going to cause problems, it'll be through those two. But Millwall's defensive record speaks for itself.

Head-to-Head and Injuries

This fixture has been close recently. The H2H across the last five meetings shows a split: Hull won 1-0 at The Den in January 2025 and then Hull won 3-1 at their place in December 2025. Millwall got revenge in March, winning 3-1 at Hull. Then came the 0-0 first leg last Friday. There's plenty of needle here and neither side has dominated, which makes the home advantage even more meaningful at this stage.

On the injury front, Millwall are missing Joe Bryan, Alfie Doughty, and W. Smallbone, which does thin the squad slightly. Doughty in particular is an attacking threat from wide areas, and his absence could limit some of what Neil wants to do down the left. Hull are without Liam Millar, Eliot Matazo, and Belloumi, which takes options away from Jakirović in attack and midfield going into a match where they need a goal or more.

The Betting Angle

Millwall at 1.75 to win this match is the call. They're at home in a knockout tie, they've got the better season-long form, they're third in the division against Hull's sixth place, and they score goals. Alex Neil set his side up conservatively in the first leg to keep a clean sheet on the road; expect a different approach at The Den where the crowd will be right behind them from the first whistle.

Hull need to come and attack, which leaves them exposed on the counter. That suits Millwall perfectly. The Over 2.5 Goals at 2.0 is worth a look as a side play given Hull have to take risks, but the main conviction here is Millwall getting the job done in front of their own fans and booking a place at Wembley.