New York Betting Tips | August 2026

LIV Golf

Trump National Bedminster plays host to LIV Golf’s New York stop this August, where a 54-hole shootout awaits on one of the tour’s most distinctive layouts. The New Jersey venue rewards power and precision in equal measure, with elevation changes and slick greens testing every facet of the modern game. With no cut and guaranteed prize money for all, expect fireworks from the opening tee shot.

Outright Favourites

Jon Rahm sits atop the market, but the bookmakers have got this badly wrong. We have him at a 19.3% chance of victory, that’s around 4/1 implied, yet bet365 and bovada are offering a ludicrous 1000/1. Even the shortest price of 1000/1 represents extraordinary value for a player we rate as the clear tournament favourite. Rahm’s ball-striking credentials make him a natural fit for Bedminster’s demands, and at these odds, he’s the standout selection of the week.

Bryson DeChambeau comes in as second favourite at 2.25/1 with Sky Bet, a price that accurately reflects his credentials. Our analysis puts him at 11.2% (around 8/1 implied), so there’s no screaming value here, but his power game and scientific approach to course management should suit this track. A 55% probability of a top-10 finish suggests consistency, though the price offers little wiggle room for each-way support.

Joaquin Niemann rounds out the leading trio in the market, with bet365 posting 600/1. Our ratings give him a 9.1% chance (10/1 implied), making this another case of bookmakers underestimating the LIV talent pool. The Chilean’s form metrics suggest he’s live at this price, with a 52% top-10 probability indicating he’ll be in contention deep into Sunday’s final round.

Each-Way Value

Tyrrell Hatton at 9/1 with Sky Bet catches the eye as a genuine each-way proposition. Each-Way We have him at 6.6% to win (14/1 implied), so the market price undersells him slightly, and crucially his 46% top-10 probability means he’s more likely than not to hit the each-way places. Hatton’s fiery temperament can work both ways, but when he’s on, the ball-striking is elite level.

Victor Perez represents serious each-way value at 750/1 with bet365. Each-Way Our numbers give him a 3.9% win chance (24/1 implied), so we’re talking about a player rated 30 times shorter than the market price suggests. That’s a staggering discrepancy. His 38% top-10 probability makes the each-way angle even more appealing. At these odds, a small each-way stake offers enormous potential return with legitimate place prospects.

Tom McKibbin at 500/1 with bet365 is another who warrants each-way consideration. Each-Way The young talent carries a 3.3% win probability in our ratings (30/1 implied), again highlighting how poorly the bookmakers have priced this LIV field. A 35% top-10 chance means he’s got better than one-in-three odds of grabbing a place return, making this a mathematically sound each-way play.

Players to Watch

• Dustin Johnson (2000/1 bet365) – The former world number one has slipped down the market, but writes off DJ at your peril. Our ratings give him a 3.0% win chance with 30% top-10 probability.
• Cameron Smith (28/1 William Hill) – The Australian remains one of LIV’s marquee names. At 1.8% win probability (55/1 implied), the 28/1 available with William Hill looks short given our numbers suggest he’s a longer price in reality.
• Abraham Ancer (66/1 Sky Bet) – Shares an identical 1.8% win chance with Smith but available at longer odds. Worth a speculative interest if you’re filling out a betting card.

Our Pick