New Zealand Warriors New Zealand Warriors vs Redcliffe Dolphins | NRL Premiership | 25 April 2026
Match Overview
This is a fixture with genuine stakes on both sides. The Warriors are building momentum at Go Media Stadium, while the Dolphins arrive in Auckland after a narrow defeat to Penrith, still very much in the hunt for a finals position. The head-to-head record makes this one of the tightest matchups in the NRL right now, and the odds reflect genuine uncertainty.
New Zealand Warriors
Andrew Webster has this Warriors side playing with real intent. Their expansive, attacking structure creates problems for any defence, and at home in Auckland they carry a significant structural advantage that Australian sides consistently underestimate. The travel from Queensland to New Zealand is no short hop, and that burden falls squarely on the Dolphins this week. Last weekend's 28-20 win over the Gold Coast Titans showed the Warriors' ability to control a match on home soil. At 1.52, the home price is short but not without justification.
Redcliffe Dolphins
The Dolphins will feel hard done by after losing 22-23 to Penrith last week. That kind of defeat, conceding a point at the death against a top side, can go one of two ways in terms of character. They travel to Auckland off the back of that gut-punch, having already made this exact trip twice in recent NRL history. The head-to-head record is remarkably even, with the Dolphins winning three of the last five meetings, including a 34-38 victory at Go Media Stadium earlier this year. That away win in February is impossible to ignore. At 2.55, there is a genuine case that the market is not fully accounting for their recent away record in this specific fixture.
Betting Angle
The Warriors are deserving favourites at home, but 1.52 is a price that demands you trust the travel disadvantage to do heavy lifting again. Given the Dolphins have won three of the last five in this fixture, including two in Auckland, the 2.55 on offer for the away side looks generous. The Dolphins showed they can go toe-to-toe with the best sides in the competition, and they know how to win on this ground.
Redcliffe Dolphins to Win
2.55
Three wins from five in this fixture, including two in Auckland, makes 2.55 look like the market has overreacted to home advantage and underpriced a Dolphins side with a proven record at this ground.