RBC Canadian Open Betting Tips | June 2026

PGA Tour

The RBC Canadian Open returns to TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley this week, serving as the PGA Tour’s final stop before the U.S. Open tees off at Oakmont on 18 June. With many of the world’s best using this as a final tune-up for the season’s third major, the field presents a fascinating blend of form players seeking momentum and big names looking to sharpen their games on a course that rewards precision off the tee and aggressive approach play.

Ryan Fox returns as defending champion after his maiden PGA Tour victory here in 2025, but the spotlight falls squarely on a star-studded field led by Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele. The North Course demands accuracy rather than brute length, with tree-lined fairways punishing wild driving and multi-tiered greens placing a premium on approach play. It’s a setup that should suit the tour’s elite iron players, and the bookmakers have priced accordingly.

Outright Favourites

Scottie Scheffler arrives as the short-priced favourite at 30/1 with bet365 (others: 42/1 Draftkings, 42.28/1 Pinnacle), though those odds look remarkably stingy for a 72-hole strokeplay event. Our analysis puts him at 18%, which implies closer to 5/1, so even at the generous end of the market prices, there’s no value here. That said, if you’re backing the world number one regardless of price, his combination of elite ball-striking and current form makes him the logical starting point. His strokes-gained profile suggests he’ll thrive on a course where missing fairways gets punished and approach precision separates contenders from also-rans.

Rory McIlroy presents a far more intriguing proposition at 90/1 with bet365 (others: 140/1 Draftkings, 125/1 BetOnline). We have him at 5.4% probability, which translates to roughly 18/1 implied odds. That makes the 90/1 available a glaring overlay, particularly with the U.S. Open looming large in his preparation schedule. McIlroy’s approach game has been sharp in recent starts, and while recent tournament coverage suggests his last Canadian Open appearance ended prematurely, his current form and the value on offer make him impossible to ignore. At these odds, the each-way angle becomes even more appealing with 87% make-cut probability and 35% top-10 likelihood.

Xander Schauffele completes the headline trio at 33/1 with bet365 (others: 36.31/1 Pinnacle, 33.8/1 Betcris). Like Scheffler, the odds feel compressed given our model rates him at 3.9% (around 25/1 implied). Schauffele’s game travels well to any setup, and his major championship pedigree means he’ll be treating this week as essential preparation rather than a throwaway start. The 85% cut probability and 30% top-10 chance reinforce his consistency, but the price simply doesn’t offer enough meat on the bone for outright backers.

Each-Way Value

Si Woo Kim at 750/1 with bet365 Each-Way (others: 2000/1 Draftkings, 1000/1 Bovada) represents outstanding value in the each-way market. We rate him at 4.2% to win, which implies 23/1 fair odds. Getting 750/1 on a player we have at those probabilities is the definition of a market inefficiency. Kim’s ball-striking has been quietly excellent, ranking among the field leaders in strokes-gained: approach, and the course setup should suit his game perfectly. With 89% make-cut probability and 33% top-10 likelihood, the place returns alone justify the bet at 1/5 odds over five places.

Cameron Young also screams value at 5000/1 with bet365 Each-Way (others: 2500/1 Caesars, 1000/1 FanDuel). Our ratings give him 4.2% win probability, identical to Kim and again around 23/1 implied. The 5000/1 available is frankly absurd for a player of Young’s calibre. His length off the tee can occasionally create issues on tighter tracks, but when he finds fairways, his iron play ranks among the tour’s best. At 85% to make the cut and 31% for a top-10 finish, the each-way structure provides excellent cover while leaving the door open for a potential life-changing payout should everything click.

Russell Henley rounds out the value plays at 5000/1 with bet365 Each-Way (others: 5000/1 Draftkings, 2500/1 Caesars). We have him at 4.2% to win (23/1 implied), making this another glaring market mistake. Henley’s steady, percentage-golf approach fits tree-lined courses beautifully, and his 88% cut probability paired with 34% top-10 chance suggests a player primed for a strong week. The odds are simply too generous to ignore, particularly in the each-way format where we’re getting paid on five places.

Players to Watch

Ryan Fox returns as defending champion, looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Jim Furyk achieved the feat in 2006-07. His victory here twelve months ago was built on rock-solid iron play and brilliant scrambling, qualities that should travel well to a second appearance at this venue.

Tommy Fleetwood draws interest at 10/1 with Betway (others: 11.18/1 Pinnacle, 11/1 BetOnline), though our model has him at just 2.2% probability (45/1 implied), suggesting the market has overvalued the Englishman’s chances. His class is undeniable, but the price doesn’t match the underlying numbers.

Patrick Cantlay represents another name-value betting opportunity at 140/1 with bet365 (others: 201.57/1 Pinnacle, 161.91/1 Betcris). We rate him at 2.5% (around 39/1 implied), making this another example where the big-name premium has created overlay. His metronomic consistency and 84% cut probability make him a solid each-way option.

Our Pick