Rocket Classic Betting Tips | July 2026

PGA Tour

The PGA Tour heads to Detroit Golf Club for the Rocket Classic, where Aldrich Potgieter returns as defending champion. This regular tour stop offers a quality field but lacks the star-studded depth of the bigger events, creating opportunities for smart value plays. With generous each-way terms (1/5 odds, 5 places), punters can afford to take a swing at some longer prices while the bookmakers settle on their assessments.

Outright Favourites

The market has installed Scottie Scheffler as favourite at 14/1 with Sky Bet, caesars, and pointsbet all matching that price. On the surface, that looks generous for the world number one. Scratch beneath and you’ll find serious value, because our analysis puts him at a 23.4% chance of winning, implying odds closer to 3/1. That’s an enormous gulf. Scheffler has a 65% probability of a top-10 finish and a 93% chance of making the cut. When the model and the market diverge this sharply, it’s typically the model that knows better. The only question is whether you want the outright at 14/1 or to get creative with top-10 and top-20 positions.

Hideki Matsuyama sits at 90/1 with bet365, though betcris stretches to 120/1 and draftkings offers 105/1. We rate him significantly shorter at 36/1, giving him a 2.7% win probability. That disconnect between perception and reality makes this compelling each-way territory. Matsuyama has a 22% chance of a top-10 finish and a 75% probability of being around at the weekend. At triple-figure prices, you’re getting paid handsomely for a player our ratings place firmly in contention.

Tom Kim rounds out the headline trio, with bet365 and draftkings both posting 5000/1, while caesars offers 4000/1. Our numbers suggest he should be nearer 33/1 with a 2.9% win probability. The 23% top-10 chance and 76% make-cut probability indicate a player whose odds have drifted far beyond where the data suggests they should sit. The market occasionally loses the plot on pricing mid-tier talent, and this looks like one of those occasions.

Each-Way Value

Kurt Kitayama Each-Way represents the standout each-way play of the week. bet365 goes 1000/1, caesars offers 1500/1, and draftkings pushes out to 2250/1. We have him at 27/1 with a 3.5% win probability, making this a colossal value opportunity. The 25% top-10 chance combined with a 76% make-cut probability suggests a player who will be competitive through the weekend. At four-figure prices, the each-way angle becomes irresistible when the underlying data points to a legitimate contender.

Maverick McNealy Each-Way follows a similar pattern. The bookmakers have gone berserk with pricing: bet365 at 5000/1, caesars at 4000/1, and Betway at 3000/1. Our ratings place him at 27/1 with a 3.6% win probability, identical to Kitayama in terms of genuine chances. The 25% top-10 probability and 77% make-cut rate reinforce the notion that this is a player being wildly underestimated. When you can get 3000/1 about a 27/1 shot, you take it.

Keith Mitchell Each-Way completes the value trio. bet365 offers 2500/1, with caesars at 4000/1 and draftkings stretching to 5000/1. BonusDevil’s ratings give him a 1.9% chance at 51/1 implied. The gap isn’t as pronounced as Kitayama or McNealy, but it’s still massive. An 18% top-10 probability with a 69% make-cut rate points to a player who’ll be around when it matters. At 2500/1 and above, the each-way returns become absurdly generous if he slots into the top five.

Players to Watch

• Aldrich Potgieter – Returns as defending champion after winning the 2025 edition. Always worth monitoring how the holder handles the pressure of returning to a course where they’ve tasted success.
• Corey Conners – Available at 5000/1 with bet365 and draftkings, 4000/1 at caesars. We rate him at 53/1 with a 1.9% win probability. The 17% top-10 chance and 70% make-cut probability make him a credible outsider if you fancy a real longshot.
• Ben Kohles – Sky Bet and pointsbet offer 7/1 and 8/1 respectively, with betcris at 7.5/1. Our model puts him at 71/1 with a 1.4% win probability. The short prices from those bookmakers look mispriced compared to the data, but the 15% top-10 chance keeps him relevant.

Our Pick