Soudal Open Betting Tips | May 2026

DP World Tour

The DP World Tour’s Belgian outpost arrives at Rinkven International GC this week, where the Soudal Open serves as a platform for European contenders chasing form and ranking points ahead of the summer stretch. With Premier League Darts building towards its O2 Arena finale next week, the sporting calendar offers punters plenty of angles, but golf bettors know the value often hides in the second-tier DP World Tour events where the bookmakers haven’t priced every nuance.

Rinkven favours accuracy over power, a tree-lined layout that punishes wayward drivers and rewards steady ball-striking. Those with elite approach play and scrambling ability tend to prosper here, making strokes-gained metrics more telling than raw distance stats. The field lacks star power but boasts genuine depth, creating an open betting heat with value scattered through the middle-to-lower odds brackets.

Outright Favourites

Thomas Detry heads the market at 12/1 with Sky Bet, and you can understand why the Belgian would be popular on home soil. Our analysis puts him at 13/1 implied probability, so the market price represents fair value rather than a steal. His 7.1% win chance translates to a 37% top-ten probability and an 83% likelihood of making the weekend, solid numbers for a player leading the betting. The bookmakers have this one pegged correctly.

Jose Luis Ballester sits at 22/1 with Sky Bet, and this is where the value conversation begins. BonusDevil’s ratings give him a 6.1% chance, which implies 15/1 in a perfect market. At 22/1, you’re getting seven points of cushion on a player with a 32% top-ten probability and a 79% cut-making rate. That edge compounds in the each-way market, where Ballester offers genuine appeal at nearly one-and-a-half times his fair price.

Daniel Hillier at 20/1 with bet365 carries a 4.9% win probability in our book, closer to 19/1 implied. The New Zealander’s 31% top-ten rate and 79% cut-making chance make him a solid outright option, though the value angle is thinner than Ballester’s. Hillier’s ball-striking consistency suits Rinkven’s demand for precision, and at 20/1 he’s a fair bet rather than a robbery.

Each-Way Value

Mikael Lindberg is available at 35/1 with bet365, and that’s generous for a player we rate at 28/1 implied. Each-Way at one-fifth the odds across five places, Lindberg’s 3.5% win chance and 23% top-ten probability make this a mathematically sound play. His 73% cut-making rate suggests reliability, and seven points of value on the win line amplify when projected across the place returns. This is the kind of price discrepancy that separates sharp bettors from pub punters.

Jayden Schaper also catches the eye at 20/1 with bet365 despite a model line of 29/1. Each-Way The South African’s 3.3% win probability and 24% top-ten rate don’t scream outright bet, but nine points of value create compelling each-way mathematics. His 76% cut-making figure ranks among the field’s most consistent, and at these odds the bookmaker is effectively gifting equity to anyone willing to look past the names at the top of the board.

Eugenio Chacarra merits attention at 30/1 with bet365, priced a full point longer than his 29/1 model line. Each-Way The Spaniard’s 3.3% win chance mirrors Schaper’s, while his 23% top-ten probability and 75% cut-making rate provide the foundation for an each-way assault. Chacarra’s precision iron play suits Rinkven’s tree-lined demands, and the bookmakers have mispriced his chances by a meaningful margin.

Players to Watch

Casey Jarvis at 25/1 with bet365 offers intrigue. His 2.8% win probability and 21% top-ten rate suggest a player capable of contending if the putter cooperates. The young South African’s 72% cut-making chance indicates baseline competence, though ten points of value versus his model line (35/1 implied) make this a speculative play rather than a core position.

Ewen Ferguson sits at 22/1 with bet365 despite a model line of 47/1, a pricing anomaly that suggests the bookmakers fancy his recent form more than the data supports. His 2.1% win chance and 19% top-ten rate don’t justify the short odds, making Ferguson a player to watch rather than back. The Scot’s 71% cut-making probability keeps him competitive, but this price feels like reputation betting from punters who remember better days.

Victor Perez at 28/1 with bet365 carries a 2.4% win chance (40/1 implied), offering twelve points of value for those willing to gamble on the Frenchman’s ball-striking returning to previous levels. His 20% top-ten probability and 72% cut-making rate provide a safety net, though the variance in his game makes this a coin-flip proposition rather than a data-driven selection.

Our Pick