Stockport County 
Peterborough United The Setup: Playoffs in Sight, But Form is Wobbling
Stockport sit fifth in League One with 71 points and a home record that reads W12 D4 L5 at Edgeley Park. They're in the playoff mix and this is exactly the kind of fixture where you need to take care of business. The problem is they haven't exactly looked convincing lately.
Three of their last five have come away from home, and the results are all over the place. A 2-0 win at AFC Wimbledon looks good on paper, but that was sandwiched around a 3-3 draw at Exeter and a 2-2 at Bolton. Then Mansfield came to Edgeley Park and left with all three points via a 1-0 win. That result stings. At home, against a side not in the top half, and they couldn't find a goal. Kyle Wootton leads their scoring charts with 18 goals in 43 appearances this season, and they need him firing if they're going to push for that top six finish.
Then there's the EFL Trophy Final hangover to consider. Stockport lost 1-3 to Luton on 12 April. A Wembley defeat doesn't just hurt emotionally, it eats into the schedule and the legs. With a playoff push still alive, squeezing performance out of a squad that's just had a cup final disappointment is no easy ask for any manager.
On the injury front, L. Bate and C. Camps are both missing for Stockport, though neither has a specific timeline confirmed. Peterborough have no confirmed injury concerns heading into this one.
Peterborough's Form is a Mess
Sitting 17th with 52 points and a goal difference of exactly zero, Peterborough are safe from relegation but have absolutely nothing to play for. Their last five matches read: drew at home with Burton, lost at home to Port Vale 1-3, lost at Blackpool 1-3, drew at home with Cardiff, lost at Luton 1-2. That's one point from a possible fifteen, with ten goals conceded. They look like a side that's already mentally clocked off.
Hector Leonard has 14 goals and 5 assists in 34 appearances this season, and J. Morgan has chipped in 12 goals, so there is attacking threat there. K. Lisbie adds 11 goals from 41 appearances. But the away record tells you everything: W7 D2 L13 on the road. They have won seven away from home all season, and the momentum is firmly in the wrong direction.
Head-to-Head and the Betting Angle
The H2H from this season throws up an interesting wrinkle. Peterborough won 3-0 at home in November 2025, which is a convincing result. But Stockport got a 2-1 win at Edgeley Park back in December 2024, which was last season's corresponding fixture. The most recent meeting ended 1-1 at Peterborough in April 2025. So it's genuinely competitive between these two, and Peterborough clearly aren't a complete walkover for anyone.
That said, everything about the context of this match points toward goals. Stockport have been involved in a 3-3, a 2-2, a 2-0, a 1-0, and a 1-3 in their last five. Peterborough's last five produced 1-1, 1-3, 1-3, 1-1, and 1-2. The Posh have shipped three in a game twice in their last five, and Stockport desperately need the points to stay in the playoff conversation. With Wootton as clinical as he's been this season, Edgeley Park could see goals early.
Over 2.5 Goals at 1.41 looks tight for value. The match result market has Stockport at 1.64, which reflects their home advantage and league position, and that price is fair given Peterborough's awful away record and their current run of form. Back Stockport to win and expect a lively game, but the real value here is that Peterborough tend to score even when they lose, and Stockport's defence has been leaky enough to make this a game where the over feels more likely than the under at 2.75.
Odds: 1.64 โ Coolbet
Stockport need the three points to keep their playoff push alive and Peterborough arrive with one win in their last eight, a terrible away record, and nothing left to play for. The EFL Trophy final defeat will hurt, but home advantage and the sheer gulf in motivation should see Stockport get this done at Edgeley Park.