Stockport County vs Stevenage Betting Tips 2026

The Stakes: League One Play-Off Semi-Final, Second Leg

Stockport head into Wednesday night’s second leg at Edgeley Park with a 1-0 advantage from the first leg at Broadhall Way. They controlled that game, kept Stevenage at arm’s length, and now they host the return in front of their own crowd knowing a draw or a win puts them in the final. That’s a significant position to be in.

Third in League One with 77 points and a positive goal difference of +13, Stockport have been one of the more consistent sides in this division all season. Their home record tells a slightly complicated story though: W13 D4 L6 at Edgeley Park. They’re not impenetrable on home soil, and Stevenage will know that. The visitors lost 0-1 in the first leg but arrive as the sixth-placed side with 75 points, separated by just two points and the slimmest of margins in the tie itself.

Form and Key Players

Stockport’s last five reads W W L W L, which sounds patchier than their season deserves. The defeat to Port Vale at home was frustrating but they bounced back with a 3-1 win over Peterborough and then went to Stevenage and got the result that matters most right now. Kyle Wootton is the man carrying their attacking threat, with 18 goals and 3 assists across 47 appearances this season. He’s the focal point, he’s physical, and he causes problems in tight second-leg atmospheres. Ollie Norwood has been excellent all year too: 8 goals and 11 assists in 42 games, which is a serious contribution from midfield. If Stockport are going to kill this tie off, those two will be central to it.

Stevenage aren’t here by accident. Jamie Reid has 14 goals and 3 assists in 45 appearances for them this term, and their home form in the league has been outstanding: W14 D7 L2. The problem is they need to come here and score, and their away record is W7 D5 L11. That away form is the real concern for Boro backers. When they have to go and get a result on the road, they’ve struggled far more often than not.

Stevenage did beat Stockport at Broadhall Way in February, 2-1, and won there in December 2024 by the same scoreline. So they can hurt this Stockport side. But when Stockport have hosted them, the most recent result was a 1-3 defeat in December 2025, which went against the grain of a 3-0 home win back in April 2025. This is a genuinely tight head-to-head.

Injuries and Team News

Stockport are without Luke Bate and Connor Camps, both missing through unknown issues. Neither absence is ideal ahead of a semi-final second leg, though the squad depth at Edgeley Park should cover it. Stevenage have no confirmed injury concerns and can name a full squad.

The Betting Angle

This is where the tie stands: Stockport need only avoid losing by two or more goals. Stevenage need a two-goal swing. Given Boro’s away record this season, that is a big ask. They’ve lost 11 away games in the league. Stockport at home, with a lead to protect and their own fans behind them, at 1.92 to win the match is genuinely fair value.

The Stockport home win also feels like the outcome most aligned with how the first leg played out. They were controlled, professional, and won without needing to be brilliant. On Wednesday, they have every reason to come out and attack early, force Stevenage to chase the game, and close this out. Wootton and Norwood in front of a home crowd with promotion on the line is a dangerous combination for any League One defence to handle.

Stevenage at 4.5 needs you to believe they can overturn the deficit on the road against a side they haven’t comfortably beaten away from home. The draw at 3.65 sends this to extra time but only benefits Stevenage if they’ve already equalised. The 1-0 win from the first leg is a genuine asset and Stockport should use it wisely.