THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson Betting Tips | May 2026

PGA Tour

TPC Craig Ranch hosts the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson this week, and the Dallas suburb venue returns with its reputation for low scoring firmly intact. The par-72 layout favours aggressive ball-striking and hot putting, with wind exposure adding the only real defence. Scottie Scheffler defends his title after a dominant showing twelve months ago, and the field features a strong mix of Tour regulars and rising stars all hunting birdies on a course that demands red numbers from the opening tee shot.

Outright Favourites

Scottie Scheffler at 1.75/1 with Betway (others: 1.85/1 Betonline, 1.85/1 Bovada) is the prohibitive favourite, and rightly so. The defending champion posted 31 under par in 2025 to match the PGA Tour record for lowest total to par, and his game suits TPC Craig Ranch perfectly. His strokes-gained tee-to-green numbers put him among the elite ball-strikers in the field, and with a 94% make-cut probability and 74% chance of a top-ten finish, he’s a rock-solid proposition. Our analysis gives him a 31.4% win probability, which translates to implied odds of 2/1, so there’s minimal value at the current price but plenty of reliability for those building multiples or simply backing class.

Si Woo Kim at 12/1 with Betway (others: 14.79/1 Betcris, 14.3/1 Pinnacle) offers far more intrigue. The South Korean is a proven winner on Tour and his form metrics stack up nicely. We rate him at 6.1% to win, implying fair odds closer to 15/1, which makes the 12/1 available a solid take. His 85% make-cut probability and 38% top-ten chance suggest genuine contention rather than a speculative punt, and at this venue where aggressive iron play pays dividends, Kim’s ball-striking prowess should keep him in the mix through the weekend.

Jordan Spieth at 14/1 with bet365 (others: 18.64/1 Pinnacle, 18.55/1 Betcris) brings course knowledge and a home-state advantage to the equation. The Texan has thrived on these North Texas layouts over the years, and while our model suggests fair value closer to 24/1, the 14/1 price reflects market respect for his local form. A 79% make-cut probability and 30% top-ten chance keep him relevant, and if the putter heats up over the opening two days, Spieth could easily be in the conversation come Sunday afternoon.

Each-Way Value

Wyndham Clark at 45/1 with bet365 Each-Way (others: 62.7/1 Betcris, 56.07/1 Pinnacle) represents standout each-way value at 1/5 odds, five places. BonusDevil’s ratings put him at 1.6% to win, implying fair odds of 62/1, so the 45/1 available is generous. His 69% make-cut probability and 17% top-ten chance give the each-way angle genuine legs, and Clark’s ball-striking ability fits the TPC Craig Ranch demands. If he finds any rhythm with the flat stick, he’ll collect place money at minimum.

Keith Mitchell at 35/1 with bet365 Each-Way (others: 60.7/1 Betcris, 55/1 Betonline) is another who fits the each-way profile. We have him at 1.6% to win (62/1 implied), making the 35/1 price very generous indeed. A 70% make-cut probability and 18% top-ten chance provide the safety net, and Mitchell’s strokes-gained metrics suggest he can compete at this level when conditions suit. The each-way terms make this a bet with real cover, and the value margin is substantial.

Taylor Pendrith at 40/1 with bet365 Each-Way (others: 55/1 Draftkings, 53.98/1 Pinnacle) completes the each-way trio. Our analysis gives him a 1.6% win probability (61/1 implied), so 40/1 offers clear value. The Canadian’s power game suits wide-open layouts, and his 70% make-cut probability combined with a 17% top-ten chance makes the place portion of the bet a realistic prospect. At these odds with five places paid, Pendrith is worth an each-way tickle.

Players to Watch

Scottie Scheffler returns as defending champion, and his dominance last year wasn’t a fluke. The world number one’s consistency and course fit make him the obvious benchmark for the field.

Brooks Koepka at 20/1 with bet365 carries big-name appeal despite our model suggesting fair value closer to 47/1. A 71% make-cut probability and 19% top-ten chance keep him relevant, though the price feels short for the actual win probability.

Ryo Hisatsune at 33/1 with bet365 represents an intriguing international challenger. We rate him at 2.0% to win (50/1 implied), so the 33/1 price warrants attention. His 74% make-cut probability and 20% top-ten chance suggest he could surprise.

Our Pick