Tottenham vs Everton Betting Tips 2026

Final Day Stakes

This is the last day of the 2025/26 Premier League season and Tottenham are staring down one of the more embarrassing final-day situations the club has faced in years. Sitting 17th on 38 points, Roberto De Zerbi’s side go into this needing points just to make sure the season ends with some dignity intact. Their home record is genuinely dreadful: two wins, six draws, ten losses at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. For a club of their size, that’s a damning number.

Everton come in 12th and effectively have nothing riding on this. David Moyes’ side are safe and settled in mid-table, which raises the obvious question about motivation. Their last five results read: loss, draw, draw, loss, loss. They’ve shipped 12 goals in those five games, and while they’ve scored eight, the defensive fragility is hard to ignore. Beto leads their scoring charts with 9 goals in 36 appearances, and Kasey Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry have both chipped in with 8 goals each this season. There’s attacking threat there, just not much defensive solidity right now.

Tottenham’s form is a mix. They’ve won at Aston Villa and Wolves in recent away fixtures, but at home they dropped points against Leeds in a 1-1 draw and lost to Chelsea 1-2 on the road. Richarlison has been their standout contributor with 11 goals and 4 assists in 31 appearances this season. He’ll be central to whatever Tottenham can manufacture today.

Head-to-Head

The recent H2H leans Tottenham’s way, though it’s not one-sided. They hammered Everton 4-0 at home in August 2024 and won 3-0 at Goodison Park in October 2025. The reverse fixture back in January 2025 saw Everton win 3-2 at home, so Moyes’ side are capable of causing problems. Three of the last five meetings have produced at least three goals. Tottenham have won three of the last five overall, and that Goodison result from this season is a useful confidence marker ahead of today.

Injuries and Team News

Tottenham are without Mohammed Kudus, Dejan Kulusevski, and Wilson Odobert, all ruled out. Losing Kulusevski in particular hurts the creative output in wide areas. Everton are missing Jarrad Branthwaite at the back, which is a significant blow given their defensive struggles in recent weeks. Jack Grealish is also out with a foot injury, and Idrissa Gueye is doubtful. Branthwaite’s absence leaves a gap at the heart of Everton’s defence that Richarlison and company will fancy exploiting.

Goals Markets

Both of these teams have been generous at the back recently. Tottenham have conceded 6 in their last 5 and Everton have let in 12. That’s 18 goals conceded between them across 10 matches. The Over 2.5 Goals market sits at 1.95, and with Branthwaite out and Tottenham desperate for a win to close the season on a positive note, this has the shape of a game where goals come. Under 2.5 at 1.89 requires a tighter contest than either side has produced lately. The value sits over the line.

The Betting Angle

The statistical model gives this a 45% win probability for Tottenham and 45% for a draw, with Everton at just 10%. That aligns with the eye test. Everton are mid-table comfortable with nothing to play for, and their away record isn’t strong enough to back them at 4.6. Tottenham at 1.96 with home advantage, a genuine goal threat in Richarlison, and the H2H weight behind them is the play.

De Zerbi will want to send his side into the summer on the right note, and the Everton back line missing Branthwaite is not the opponent you want when you’re already leaking goals. Richarlison at 5.5 for first goalscorer is fair value if you want to add a second string to the bet. If you prefer backing a bigger price, Thierno Barry at 10 is worth a small interest given his eight goals this season.

Tottenham to win at 1.96 is the pick.