Form Check: Udinese the Side to Watch
Udinese head into this one off the back of a genuinely impressive run. That 3-0 win away at AC Milan is the standout result, and it's not an outlier either. Kosta Runjaic's side have picked up wins at Genoa and Milan in recent weeks, showing they can hurt teams on the road and at home. The blip was a 1-0 home defeat to Parma, which stings given they're pushing for a respectable mid-table finish, but overall the trajectory is positive. Eight goals scored across five matches, four conceded. That's not nothing.
Torino look more workmanlike. Roberto D'Aversa has them grinding out results rather than blowing teams away. Back-to-back wins over Hellas Verona and Pisa gave them some momentum, but a goalless draw at Cremonese followed by a 2-2 home draw with Inter isn't exactly a purple patch. Seven for, six against across their last five tells you there's goals in this Torino side, but the defensive structure is shakier than their 13th-place standing suggests.
Injuries and Team News
Udinese are missing Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, who has five goals and three assists in the league this season, so that's a real loss. He's been a reliable contributor in midfield and attack. Keeper Okoye and Padelli are also out, which creates some uncertainty between the sticks. Davis leads the line with ten goals and three assists in 27 appearances, and with Zaniolo chipping in five goals and six assists from deeper, Udinese still have the creative weapons to cause problems even without Ekkelenkamp.
Torino are without Ismajli, Sazonov and Anjorin. The defensive absences at the back could be significant given Udinese's forward threat. Three confirmed absentees in key positions is the kind of disruption that matters at this stage of the season when squads are stretched.
Head-to-Head and the Betting Angle
These two have met four times in the recent past including both legs of the current cycle. Udinese won 2-1 at Torino back in January 2026, and before that Torino took a 2-0 win in April 2025. The fixture that stands out most for context is the 2-2 draw at Stadio Friuli in December 2024, which suggests goals aren't hard to come by when these sides meet on Udinese's patch.
Three of the last five H2H meetings have produced three or more goals combined. Udinese's home record this season reads W5 D5 L7, so they're not impregnable at Stadio Friuli, but they're dangerous in front of their own fans when the team clicks. Torino's away form is W4 D5 L8, which is the worst of the two sides on the road. That matters.
At 2.3, Udinese to win feels like genuine value. They're the better-placed side, playing at home, with the superior recent form. Davis is firing, Zaniolo is creating, and Torino are coming in with defensive personnel missing. Runjaic has this team well-drilled and motivated. Torino's 2-2 with Inter shows they can compete, but coming to Friuli with those absentees is a different ask entirely.
The 2.27 on Over 2.5 goals is also tempting given the H2H history and both sides' recent attacking output, but the value in the outright win market is the smarter play here.
Odds: 2.3 โ Pinnacle
Udinese have the form, the home advantage, and a striker in Davis who has ten goals this season. Torino arrive with defensive absentees and a shaky away record. Runjaic's side won this fixture in January and look the stronger outfit right now.