The Big Picture
Arsenal arrive at the London Stadium on Sunday afternoon as Premier League leaders, sitting 76 points deep into the 2025/26 season with a goal difference of +41. They are, by any reasonable measure, the best team in England right now. West Ham are 18th. That is not a narrative frame, that is just the table.
Nuno Espรญrito Santo's side head into this one off the back of a 3-0 thumping at Brentford, and the confidence levels around the club are exactly what you'd expect. Before that, West Ham showed some fight: a 4-0 home win over Wolves, a point at Crystal Palace, and a 2-1 win over Everton. But Brentford away exposed them badly, and now they face Mikel Arteta's title contenders at home. The fixtures don't get harder than this at this stage of the season.
Arsenal's own form reads well. A 3-0 home win over Fulham, a 1-0 home win over Newcastle, and a competitive 1-1 draw away at Atletico Madrid in the Champions League. They dropped points at Manchester City, but that's not a shameful result. Arteta's men are focused, in form, and have quality all over the pitch.
Injuries and Team News
Both squads carry notable absences heading into this one. For West Ham, Callum Wilson, Crysencio Summerville, and Tomas Soucek are all missing. That's a serious blow. Wilson has 6 goals and Summerville 5 in the league this season, while Soucek brings physicality and a goal threat from midfield with 5 goals in 32 appearances. Losing all three simultaneously would gut any squad, let alone one already fighting relegation.
Arsenal are without Leandro Trossard, Riccardo Calafiori, and William Saliba. Saliba's absence is the one that matters most defensively, but Arsenal have the depth to cope. Trossard has 5 goals and 6 assists this season, so his absence weakens the attack, but Viktor Gyรถkeres has 14 goals in 33 appearances and Bukayo Saka has 7 goals and 4 assists. The firepower is still very much there.
Head-to-Head Context
Recent meetings between these sides have produced some wild swings. Arsenal beat West Ham 2-0 in October 2025. Before that, West Ham pulled off a 1-0 win at Arsenal in February 2025. Go back to November 2024 and Arsenal ran out 5-2 winners at the London Stadium, and further back to February 2024, Arsenal put 6 past West Ham there. West Ham did nick two wins against Arsenal in 2023/24 at the Emirates, so the underdog story has precedent, but West Ham this season are a different beast to the side that grabbed those results. They are 18th for a reason.
The fact that Arsenal put five past West Ham at the London Stadium in the 2024/25 season and won 2-0 at the Emirates earlier this campaign tells you where the power lies in this fixture right now.
The Betting Angle
Arsenal at 1.67 is not a price that screams value on the surface, but contextually it is very hard to back against. West Ham's three key attackers and a midfielder are all out. The hosts are 18th in the table, low on morale after a heavy defeat, and facing the league leaders. Arsenal, despite a few absentees, still have Gyรถkeres, Saka, and Ezะต in their ranks with 28 combined goals and assists between them this season.
The over 2.5 goals market at 1.75 is genuinely interesting too. Arsenal have the firepower and West Ham's defensive record away from home is poor, with 9 losses in 17 away games and a goal difference of -19 across the season. The last meeting here ended 5-2. The one before that ended 6-0. Arsenal know how to turn a trip to the London Stadium into a goal fest.
Stick with Arsenal to win. 1.67 with Pinnacle reflects a near-certainty given the circumstances, and the injury blow to West Ham's forward line makes it even harder to see where the hosts get goals from.
Odds: 1.67 โ Pinnacle
Arsenal are the best team in the country, sit top of the table, and are visiting a West Ham side missing Wilson, Summerville, and Soucek. The Hammers are 18th, low on confidence after a 3-0 defeat at Brentford, and have been hammered at the London Stadium in recent seasons by this Arsenal side. Back the Gunners to get the job done.
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