Windsor Monday Tips: July 13, 2026

Windsor Monday Tips: July 13, 2026

A summer Monday at Windsor with good to firm ground and three races worth your attention. The straight five furlongs and the sweeping mile here both suit front-runners who travel well in fast conditions, and with trainer form stats varying wildly across the card, there are angles worth pressing and a few favourites worth opposing. Here are the picks.

5:20 — Join Fitzdares For A Personal Service Nursery (5f, 2yo, Good To Firm)

Selection: Jaijai (5/4, Boyle Sports)

Only three runners, so no each-way case here. This comes down to Jaijai versus Terminology, and the form angle points firmly at Richard Hannon’s colt. The progression is textbook: sixth, then second, then a win last time. He has proven he handles today’s trip and the fast ground, and three weeks between runs is nothing to worry about for a yard that knows its juveniles. The one note of caution is that Hannon’s last 14 days show just 5 wins from 62 runners, so the stable is not exactly red-hot. That said, Jaijai does the talking himself here.

Terminology ran well to win last time and James Doyle is a smart booking, but Archie Watson’s yard is firing at just 3% over the past fortnight. That cold stable form is a real dampener on a horse whose overall profile you could otherwise respect. Undercover Affair has been placed relentlessly without winning, and David Evans has not landed a winner from his last 14 runners. The market makes Jaijai the call and the form backs it up.

7:20 — Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap (6f, Good To Firm, 12 runners)

Selection: Bintola Each-Way (7/2, Boyle Sports and Betfred)

Twelve runners, four places at 1/5 odds, and a horse with a genuine winning profile in this ground. Harry Charlton is a 25% strike-rate trainer at Windsor with an A/E of 1.19, which tells you the yard targets this track and hits it. Bintola brings a recent win and a runner-up effort to the table, and while a fifth last time is a mild blot, it does not erase what came before it. The trip and going are proven. At 7/2 she represents genuine each-way value in a wide-open field.

The puzzle in this race is that Sir Alfie heads the figures despite a string of poor results, which is the kind of model anomaly you treat with scepticism rather than conviction. Under The Twilight is the main danger on honest placed form, with two fourths recently and Michael Blake having a solid 15% Windsor record. An Outlaw’s Grace is consistent but has not won in six, and Papa Cocktail is the same story. Bintola, with a yard that knows Windsor and a horse in winning form, gets the vote.

7:50 — Find Us At fitzdares.com Handicap (1m, Good To Firm, 8 runners)

Selection: Cristo Each-Way (5/1, Betfred; 9/2, LiveScore Bet)

Cristo won last time out and is back quickly on a 10-day turnaround, which usually means the yard is confident. Richard Hannon’s record at Windsor is 15% overall, and while the last 14 days show only 5 from 55, Sean Levey in the saddle is a good sign for a race the yard takes seriously. The mile on this good to firm ground suits, and form built around a recent win beats form built around recent sixths every day of the week.

Kalokalo is the market rival and his consistency is admirable: two wins and three places from five recent starts. But he is rated only mid-pack by the figures despite that profile, which suggests he may be close to his ceiling on current form. Charles Hills is in fair shape with 2 from 19 over the fortnight but that is not strong enough to take odds-on about a horse who, on ratings, is not a standout. Candonomore leads the figures at 10/1 but his recent runs of sixth and eighth are a concern, and Jennie Candlish’s yard is firing well at 4 from 17. He makes the shortlist. Cristo at 5/1, fresh from a win, is the pick.

Today’s NAP

Cristo — Find Us At fitzdares.com Handicap (7:50, Windsor)
Odds: 5/1 — Betfred (others: 9/2 LiveScore Bet, 4/1 Boyle Sports)

Cristo arrives as the most straightforward winning angle on the card: a horse that won last time out, back quickly on a 10-day turnaround, proven over the mile on fast ground, with Sean Levey booked by a yard that knows how to place a horse at Windsor. The 5/1 available at Betfred is fair value in an eight-runner field where the favourite has form that flatters him on paper but not on ratings. Back each-way to cover the each-way insurance at 3 places, 1/5 odds.

Each-Way Recommended — 3 places at 1/5 odds