PGA Tour
The PGA Tour returns to Louisiana for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, one of the circuit's rare team events where two-balls take on TPC Louisiana in alternating formats. This is no corporate jolly — winning here takes serious ball-striking and composure under the match play magnifying glass. Ben Griffin lifted the trophy in 2025, but this year's field is stacked with big hitters who fancy their chances in a format that rewards consistency and complementary skill sets.
TPC Louisiana demands accuracy off the tee and precision into tricky greens, with water in play across several closing holes. Teams alternate between foursomes (alternate shot) and four-ball (best ball), meaning every player needs to contribute — there's nowhere to hide. The strokes-gained metrics tell us which players can handle tight fairways and fast greens, and the market has responded accordingly.
Outright Favourites
Scottie Scheffler leads the board at 9/2 with BetOnline, and it's easy to see why. Our analysis puts him at a 13.7% win probability, which at 6/1 implied odds makes the 9/2 on offer generous but not outrageous. His 55% chance of a top-ten finish speaks to his consistency, and in a team format that rewards relentless pressure, Scheffler is built for this. His all-round strokes-gained profile — elite off the tee, sharp with irons — is exactly what you want on a course where one weak link can derail your scorecard.
Xander Schauffele is 17/1 at both BetOnline and PointsBet, bang in line with our 5.4% model probability (18/1 implied). He's one of the game's best scramblers and a calm head in alternate-shot chaos, which makes him a dangerous proposition here. His 34% top-ten probability suggests he'll be in the mix come Sunday, and if the putter heats up, he's more than capable of pushing Scheffler all the way.
Matt Fitzpatrick sits at the same 17/1 price with BetOnline and PointsBet, again matching our 18/1 model line. Fitzpatrick's ball-striking consistency — particularly his iron play — is tailor-made for TPC Louisiana's tight approach windows. With a 36% top-ten chance, he's a steady hand who thrives when precision trumps power. The Englishman doesn't do fireworks, but he does do fairways and greens, and in a format where bogeys are magnified, that counts for plenty.
Each-Way Value
Tommy Fleetwood at 25/1 with Pinnacle is one of the standout each-way plays this week. Each-Way We have him at 3.8% (25/1 implied), so the market price is spot on — but his 30% top-ten probability makes the 1/5 odds, 5 places terms highly attractive. Fleetwood's metronomic ball-striking and composure under pressure make him a nightmare partner to play against in foursomes, and he's shown before he can contend on tricky American tracks.
Ludvig Aberg is a fascinating case at 25/1 with Bovada, FanDuel and PointsBet. Each-Way Our model has him at 32/1 implied (3.0% win probability), so there's genuine value in the win market here. His 25% top-ten chance might look modest, but in a team event where variance is heightened, Aberg's power and improving short game could see him vault into contention. The Swede has the talent to go low in four-ball, and if his partner steadies the ship in foursomes, 25s looks generous.
Robert MacIntyre at 42/1 with BetOnline is another each-way angle worth exploring. Each-Way We rate him at 2.5% (40/1 implied), so the 42s represents fair-to-slight value. His 24% top-ten probability makes the place portion of the bet attractive, and the Scot's aggressive style and wedge play suit a course where birdies are there for the taking. If he finds a rhythm early, MacIntyre has the firepower to post a big number.
Players to Watch
- Ben Griffin — the defending champion will look to build on last year's success, and familiarity with TPC Louisiana in a team format is a genuine edge
- Collin Morikawa — 25/1 at Bet365, Morikawa's iron play ranks among the elite, and his 28% top-ten chance suggests he'll be lurking if the putts drop
- Cameron Young — 20/1 at BetCRIS and BetOnline, Young's power off the tee and solid strokes-gained approach numbers (5.2% win probability, 18/1 implied) make him a threat in four-ball rounds
Our Pick
Odds: 25/1 — Bovada (others: 25/1 FanDuel, 25/1 PointsBet)
We have Aberg at 32/1 implied based on his 3.0% win probability, making the market price of 25/1 genuine value. His ball-striking upside is enormous, and in a format where one hot round can shift momentum, his power and precision give him a clear edge. The 25% top-ten probability sweetens the each-way appeal, and at this price, he's the play.