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Paraguay to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup
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Paraguay arrive at the 2026 World Cup under manager Gustavo Julio Alfaro, tasked with navigating a Group D that includes USA, Türkiye, and Australia. The CONMEBOL representative faces a mixed recent record, with two wins offset by three defeats across their last five outings. As a mid-tier South American side, Paraguay operate in a competitive confederation but enter this tournament without the depth or individual quality of the continental heavyweights. Their group presents opportunities against Australia and potential vulnerability against USA and Türkiye, making tournament odds and match-by-match markets the primary focus for bettors assessing their prospects.
13 June 2026 , USA vs Paraguay , TBC
20 June 2026 , Türkiye vs Paraguay , TBC
26 June 2026 , Paraguay vs Australia , TBC
Paraguay's tournament odds reflect their position as a mid-tier CONMEBOL side in a competitive group. Outright winner markets will price them as a long shot, but the more profitable angles emerge in match-level betting. The 1X2 market on the Australia fixture offers the clearest opportunity to assess Paraguay's tournament momentum, whilst the USA and Türkiye contests will see them priced as underdogs in most markets. Asian handicap betting, particularly at +0.5 or +0.75, may present value in games where draw potential is high. Over/Under 2.5 goals depends heavily on Alfaro's setup: if Paraguay adopt a defensive shape against stronger opponents, the Under becomes relevant. BTTS (both teams to score) is worth monitoring in the Australia match, where Paraguay may be more adventurous. Early tournament markets often misprice mid-table sides, so bettors should assess opening group results before committing larger stakes to knockout stage progression bets.
Squad depth information is standard, meaning key injury absences or suspension will shift market pricing. Bettors should monitor official team news in the week preceding each fixture, as late withdrawals or fitness confirmations can alter odds significantly. The 1X2 market tends to be most liquid immediately after group stage confirmation, when Paraguay's realistic pathway to the knockouts becomes clearer. Draw no bet (DNB) options may offer better value than full 1X2 if Alfaro's side proves compact defensively.
L vs Morocco (2-1), W vs Greece (0-1), W vs Mexico (1-2), L vs USA (2-1), L vs South Korea (2-0).
Paraguay are in Group D alongside USA, Türkiye, and Australia. They face USA on 13 June, Türkiye on 20 June, and Australia on 26 June, with all venues to be confirmed.
Gustavo Julio Alfaro leads Paraguay into the tournament. He is responsible for tactical setup and squad selection across the three group stage fixtures.
Match odds (1X2), Asian handicap at +0.5 or +0.75, and Over/Under 2.5 are the most useful markets given Paraguay's defensive midfield identity. The Australia fixture offers the clearest 1X2 opportunity. DNB (draw no bet) may appeal if Paraguay prove compact in open play.
Paraguay have won two of their last five matches but lost three, including defeats to Morocco, USA, and South Korea. Inconsistency is their defining pattern heading into the tournament, making early group results crucial to assessing their knockout stage chances.
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